Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
25%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.612.61safe0.03–1.970.75–2.460.79–4.43safer0.00–2.220.52–2.690.31–4.91
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.655.068.71safe1.79–5.523.31–6.805.11–12.32safer1.30–6.012.85–7.264.15–13.27
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6813.0624.73safe7.75–15.609.49–16.6217.24–32.22safer6.66–16.698.53–17.5815.19–34.27
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction6.898.6615.55safe3.95–9.835.98–11.349.93–21.17safer3.12–10.665.24–12.088.36–22.74
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.103.606.70safe1.22–4.981.95–5.253.17–10.24safer0.68–5.531.45–5.742.13–11.27
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.949.75safe2.60–7.032.94–6.945.54–13.97safer2.03–7.602.41–7.474.43–15.07
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.7859.07safe34.99–48.5752.29–65.86safer33.32–50.2450.62–67.53
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction396541937safe329–463475–607803–1071safer311–482457–625768–1106
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.7074.87safe61.67–69.7370.55–79.19safer60.38–71.0269.24–80.50
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8710.8622.73safe9.03–14.717.92–13.8116.95–28.51safer8.28–15.467.17–14.5615.45–30.02
Offsides
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.733.31safe0.42–2.740.63–2.821.06–5.56safer0.12–3.040.35–3.110.47–6.15
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.953.74safe0.74–2.840.82–3.081.56–5.92safer0.47–3.100.53–3.371.01–6.48
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
51%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.726.05safe1.89–4.761.17–4.283.05–9.04safer1.50–5.150.74–4.702.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.61 0.75–2.46 0.52–2.69 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 24% 25% 51% |
| Shots on target | 3.65 1.79–5.52 1.30–6.01 | 5.06 3.31–6.80 2.85–7.26 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 11.68 7.75–15.60 6.66–16.69 | 13.06 9.49–16.62 8.53–17.58 | 24.73 17.24–32.22 15.19–34.27 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 6.89 3.95–9.83 3.12–10.66 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.24–12.08 | 15.55 9.93–21.17 8.36–22.74 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.10 1.22–4.98 0.68–5.53 | 3.60 1.95–5.25 1.45–5.74 | 6.70 3.17–10.24 2.13–11.27 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.03 2.03–7.60 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.41–7.47 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 41.78 34.99–48.57 33.32–50.24 | 59.07 52.29–65.86 50.62–67.53 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 311–482 | 541 475–607 457–625 | 937 803–1071 768–1106 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.70 61.67–69.73 60.38–71.02 | 74.87 70.55–79.19 69.24–80.50 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.87 9.03–14.71 8.28–15.46 | 10.86 7.92–13.81 7.17–14.56 | 22.73 16.95–28.51 15.45–30.02 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.73 0.63–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.47–3.10 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.72 1.17–4.28 0.74–4.70 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 51% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.