Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.630.992.63safe0.66–2.600.14–1.850.80–4.45safer0.41–2.850.00–2.080.32–4.93
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.378.78safe3.55–7.271.63–5.115.18–12.39safer3.06–7.761.16–5.584.22–13.34
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0110.0625.07safe11.08–18.936.50–13.6217.58–32.56safer9.99–20.025.54–14.5815.53–34.61
Shots in box
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction10.096.1216.20safe7.15–13.033.44–8.8010.58–21.83safer6.32–13.862.70–9.539.01–23.39
Blocked shots
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.772.436.20safe1.89–5.650.78–4.082.67–9.74safer1.35–6.200.28–4.571.63–10.77
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.823.859.67safe3.61–8.041.85–5.855.46–13.88safer3.04–8.611.31–6.384.35–14.99
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.6039.91safe53.81–67.3933.13–46.70safer52.14–69.0631.46–48.37
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction585376961safe517–652310–443827–1095safer499–670292–460792–1131
Pass accuracy %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction71.9768.10safe67.94–76.0063.78–72.43safer66.65–77.2962.47–73.74
Fouls
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3112.7423.04safe7.47–13.149.79–15.6817.26–28.83safer6.71–13.909.04–16.4315.76–30.33
Offsides
46%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.373.11safe0.58–2.900.28–2.470.86–5.37safer0.28–3.200.00–2.760.27–5.95
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.853.40safe0.50–2.600.72–2.971.22–5.58safer0.24–2.870.43–3.270.66–6.14
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.726.14safe0.98–3.852.17–5.283.14–9.13safer0.59–4.241.74–5.702.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.63 0.80–4.45 0.32–4.93 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.27 3.06–7.76 | 3.37 1.63–5.11 1.16–5.58 | 8.78 5.18–12.39 4.22–13.34 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 15.01 11.08–18.93 9.99–20.02 | 10.06 6.50–13.62 5.54–14.58 | 25.07 17.58–32.56 15.53–34.61 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 6.12 3.44–8.80 2.70–9.53 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 81% 13% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.35–6.20 | 2.43 0.78–4.08 0.28–4.57 | 6.20 2.67–9.74 1.63–10.77 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Corners | 5.82 3.61–8.04 3.04–8.61 | 3.85 1.85–5.85 1.31–6.38 | 9.67 5.46–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 60.60 53.81–67.39 52.14–69.06 | 39.91 33.13–46.70 31.46–48.37 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 585 517–652 499–670 | 376 310–443 292–460 | 961 827–1095 792–1131 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.97 67.94–76.00 66.65–77.29 | 68.10 63.78–72.43 62.47–73.74 | — | 67% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.31 7.47–13.14 6.71–13.90 | 12.74 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 23.04 17.26–28.83 15.76–30.33 | 27% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.37 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.11 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.95 | 46% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.85 0.72–2.97 0.43–3.27 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.72 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+