Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.502.53safe0.07–2.000.64–2.350.71–4.35safer0.00–2.250.41–2.580.23–4.83
Shots on target
31%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.644.558.19safe1.78–5.502.81–6.294.58–11.79safer1.29–5.992.34–6.763.63–12.75
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3113.2624.57safe7.39–15.249.70–16.8217.09–32.06safer6.30–16.338.74–17.7815.03–34.11
Shots in box
21%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction6.819.5116.32safe3.87–9.756.82–12.1910.69–21.94safer3.04–10.586.09–12.929.13–23.51
Blocked shots
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.876.78safe1.02–4.792.22–5.533.24–10.31safer0.48–5.331.73–6.022.21–11.35
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.309.71safe2.19–6.623.30–7.305.49–13.92safer1.62–7.192.77–7.834.39–15.03
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction40.7359.81safe33.94–47.5253.03–66.60safer32.27–49.1951.36–68.27
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction354519873safe286–421452–585739–1006safer268–439435–603703–1042
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction64.5176.39safe60.48–68.5472.07–80.72safer59.19–69.8370.76–82.03
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4111.9426.35safe11.57–17.249.00–14.8920.57–32.13safer10.81–18.008.25–15.6419.06–33.63
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.003.86safe0.70–3.020.91–3.101.61–6.12safer0.40–3.320.62–3.381.02–6.70
Yellow cards
46%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.844.00safe1.10–3.200.71–2.971.82–6.17safer0.84–3.470.42–3.261.26–6.73
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.22safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.85
GK saves
46%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.665.59safe1.49–4.371.11–4.222.60–8.59safer1.11–4.750.68–4.641.79–9.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.50 0.64–2.35 0.41–2.58 | 2.53 0.71–4.35 0.23–4.83 | 26% 26% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.64 1.78–5.50 1.29–5.99 | 4.55 2.81–6.29 2.34–6.76 | 8.19 4.58–11.79 3.63–12.75 | 31% 14% 56% |
| Total shots | 11.31 7.39–15.24 6.30–16.33 | 13.26 9.70–16.82 8.74–17.78 | 24.57 17.09–32.06 15.03–34.11 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 6.81 3.87–9.75 3.04–10.58 | 9.51 6.82–12.19 6.09–12.92 | 16.32 10.69–21.94 9.13–23.51 | 21% 71% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.02–4.79 0.48–5.33 | 3.87 2.22–5.53 1.73–6.02 | 6.78 3.24–10.31 2.21–11.35 | 28% 15% 57% |
| Corners | 4.41 2.19–6.62 1.62–7.19 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.77–7.83 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 40.73 33.94–47.52 32.27–49.19 | 59.81 53.03–66.60 51.36–68.27 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 354 286–421 268–439 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 873 739–1006 703–1042 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.51 60.48–68.54 59.19–69.83 | 76.39 72.07–80.72 70.76–82.03 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 14.41 11.57–17.24 10.81–18.00 | 11.94 9.00–14.89 8.25–15.64 | 26.35 20.57–32.13 19.06–33.63 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 2.00 0.91–3.10 0.62–3.38 | 3.86 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.70 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.15 1.10–3.20 0.84–3.47 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 4.00 1.82–6.17 1.26–6.73 | 46% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.37 1.11–4.75 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.59 2.60–8.59 1.79–9.40 | 46% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.