Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
22%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction1.870.892.76safe0.90–2.840.04–1.750.94–4.58safer0.65–3.090.00–1.970.46–5.06
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.503.278.77safe3.64–7.361.53–5.015.16–12.37safer3.15–7.851.06–5.484.21–13.33
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.139.5125.64safe12.21–20.065.95–13.0718.15–33.13safer11.12–21.154.99–14.0316.10–35.18
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.066.2217.29safe8.12–14.013.54–8.9011.66–22.91safer7.29–14.842.80–9.6410.10–24.48
Blocked shots
73%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.236.50safe2.39–6.150.57–3.882.96–10.03safer1.84–6.700.08–4.371.93–11.07
Corners
78%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.623.6710.29safe4.40–8.831.67–5.676.08–14.50safer3.83–9.401.14–6.214.97–15.61
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.7138.69safe54.92–68.5031.91–45.48safer53.25–70.1730.24–47.15
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction574353927safe507–641286–419793–1060safer488–659269–437757–1096
Pass accuracy %
80%
16%
homeawayprediction75.5168.35safe71.48–79.5464.02–72.67safer70.18–80.8362.72–73.98
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5614.3525.92safe8.72–14.4011.41–17.3020.13–31.70safer7.97–15.1610.66–18.0518.63–33.20
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.813.86safe0.89–3.210.72–2.901.61–6.12safer0.59–3.510.43–3.191.02–6.71
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.293.80safe0.45–2.551.16–3.421.62–5.97safer0.19–2.820.87–3.711.06–6.53
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.555.89safe0.90–3.772.00–5.112.89–8.88safer0.51–4.161.57–5.542.08–9.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.97 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 60% 22% 17% |
| Shots on target | 5.50 3.64–7.36 3.15–7.85 | 3.27 1.53–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 8.77 5.16–12.37 4.21–13.33 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 16.13 12.21–20.06 11.12–21.15 | 9.51 5.95–13.07 4.99–14.03 | 25.64 18.15–33.13 16.10–35.18 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 11.06 8.12–14.01 7.29–14.84 | 6.22 3.54–8.90 2.80–9.64 | 17.29 11.66–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.70 | 2.23 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 6.50 2.96–10.03 1.93–11.07 | 73% 15% |
| Corners | 6.62 4.40–8.83 3.83–9.40 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.21 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 78% 14% |
| Possession % | 61.71 54.92–68.50 53.25–70.17 | 38.69 31.91–45.48 30.24–47.15 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 574 507–641 488–659 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 927 793–1060 757–1096 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.51 71.48–79.54 70.18–80.83 | 68.35 64.02–72.67 62.72–73.98 | — | 80% 16% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.16 | 14.35 11.41–17.30 10.66–18.05 | 25.92 20.13–31.70 18.63–33.20 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.81 0.72–2.90 0.43–3.19 | 3.86 1.61–6.12 1.02–6.71 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.80 1.62–5.97 1.06–6.53 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.55 2.00–5.11 1.57–5.54 | 5.89 2.89–8.88 2.08–9.69 | 24% 15% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.