Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.743.03safe0.32–2.260.89–2.601.21–4.85safer0.07–2.510.66–2.820.73–5.33
Shots on target
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.269.72safe2.60–6.333.52–7.006.12–13.33safer2.11–6.813.05–7.475.16–14.28
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1112.7825.89safe9.18–17.039.22–16.3518.40–33.38safer8.09–18.128.26–17.3116.35–35.43
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.878.8016.68safe4.93–10.826.12–11.4911.05–22.30safer4.10–11.645.39–12.229.49–23.87
Blocked shots
42%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.316.58safe1.39–5.161.66–4.963.05–10.12safer0.85–5.701.16–5.452.01–11.15
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.995.2610.25safe2.77–7.203.26–7.266.04–14.46safer2.20–7.782.73–7.804.93–15.57
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction46.8952.74safe40.10–53.6845.96–59.53safer38.43–55.3544.28–61.20
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4855171002safe418–553450–583868–1136safer400–571433–601833–1171
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction71.2975.71safe67.26–75.3271.39–80.03safer65.97–76.6170.08–81.34
Fouls
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9411.7723.71safe9.11–14.788.82–14.7117.93–29.50safer8.35–15.548.08–15.4616.43–31.00
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.612.163.77safe0.45–2.771.07–3.251.52–6.03safer0.15–3.080.78–3.540.93–6.62
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.973.72safe0.70–2.800.84–3.101.54–5.89safer0.43–3.060.55–3.390.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.166.58safe1.99–4.861.60–4.713.59–9.57safer1.60–5.251.18–5.142.78–10.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.74 0.89–2.60 0.66–2.82 | 3.03 1.21–4.85 0.73–5.33 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.81 | 5.26 3.52–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 9.72 6.12–13.33 5.16–14.28 | 34% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.11 9.18–17.03 8.09–18.12 | 12.78 9.22–16.35 8.26–17.31 | 25.89 18.40–33.38 16.35–35.43 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.87 4.93–10.82 4.10–11.64 | 8.80 6.12–11.49 5.39–12.22 | 16.68 11.05–22.30 9.49–23.87 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.16–5.45 | 6.58 3.05–10.12 2.01–11.15 | 42% 16% 43% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.78 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.73–7.80 | 10.25 6.04–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 46.89 40.10–53.68 38.43–55.35 | 52.74 45.96–59.53 44.28–61.20 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 485 418–553 400–571 | 517 450–583 433–601 | 1002 868–1136 833–1171 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.29 67.26–75.32 65.97–76.61 | 75.71 71.39–80.03 70.08–81.34 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 11.94 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.08–15.46 | 23.71 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 47% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.08 | 2.16 1.07–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.43–3.06 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.72 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.99–4.86 1.60–5.25 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.58 3.59–9.57 2.78–10.38 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.