Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.162.94safe0.82–2.750.30–2.011.12–4.76safer0.57–3.010.07–2.240.64–5.24
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.989.76safe3.92–7.652.24–5.726.16–13.37safer3.43–8.141.77–6.195.20–14.32
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1010.7025.81safe11.18–19.037.14–14.2618.32–33.29safer10.09–20.126.18–15.2216.27–35.34
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.606.7416.33safe6.66–12.544.05–9.4210.71–21.96safer5.83–13.373.32–10.159.14–23.52
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.976.77safe1.92–5.681.31–4.623.23–10.30safer1.38–6.230.82–5.112.20–11.34
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.779.80safe3.82–8.241.77–5.775.59–14.02safer3.24–8.821.24–6.314.48–15.13
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.4545.26safe48.66–62.2438.48–52.05safer46.99–63.9136.81–53.72
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5514581009safe483–618392–525875–1143safer465–636374–542840–1178
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction75.1273.51safe71.09–79.1569.19–77.84safer69.80–80.4467.88–79.15
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.4121.98safe7.73–13.408.47–14.3616.20–27.76safer6.97–14.167.72–15.1114.69–29.27
Offsides
50%
21%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.493.53safe0.87–3.190.40–2.581.27–5.78safer0.57–3.500.11–2.870.68–6.37
Yellow cards
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.693.20safe0.46–2.560.57–2.821.02–5.38safer0.19–2.820.27–3.110.47–5.94
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.736.52safe1.35–4.222.18–5.293.53–9.51safer0.96–4.611.75–5.712.72–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.01 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.94 1.12–4.76 0.64–5.24 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.79 3.92–7.65 3.43–8.14 | 3.98 2.24–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 9.76 6.16–13.37 5.20–14.32 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.10 11.18–19.03 10.09–20.12 | 10.70 7.14–14.26 6.18–15.22 | 25.81 18.32–33.29 16.27–35.34 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.60 6.66–12.54 5.83–13.37 | 6.74 4.05–9.42 3.32–10.15 | 16.33 10.71–21.96 9.14–23.52 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.80 1.92–5.68 1.38–6.23 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.77 3.23–10.30 2.20–11.34 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.82–8.24 3.24–8.82 | 3.77 1.77–5.77 1.24–6.31 | 9.80 5.59–14.02 4.48–15.13 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 55.45 48.66–62.24 46.99–63.91 | 45.26 38.48–52.05 36.81–53.72 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 551 483–618 465–636 | 458 392–525 374–542 | 1009 875–1143 840–1178 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.12 71.09–79.15 69.80–80.44 | 73.51 69.19–77.84 67.88–79.15 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.73–13.40 6.97–14.16 | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 21.98 16.20–27.76 14.69–29.27 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.03 0.87–3.19 0.57–3.50 | 1.49 0.40–2.58 0.11–2.87 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 50% 21% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 1.69 0.57–2.82 0.27–3.11 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.73 2.18–5.29 1.75–5.71 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.72–10.32 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.