Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.600.614.21safe2.63–4.570.00–1.472.39–6.03safer2.38–4.820.00–1.691.91–6.51
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.642.5111.15safe6.78–10.500.77–4.257.55–14.76safer6.29–10.990.30–4.726.59–15.71
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.817.3430.15safe18.89–26.743.78–10.9022.66–37.64safer17.80–27.832.82–11.8620.61–39.69
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.894.9719.86safe11.95–17.832.29–7.6514.24–25.48safer11.12–18.661.55–8.3912.67–27.05
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.871.797.66safe3.99–7.750.14–3.444.13–11.20safer3.44–8.300.00–3.943.09–12.23
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.932.7011.63safe6.72–11.140.70–4.707.41–15.84safer6.14–11.720.17–5.236.31–16.95
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction76.4023.68safe69.61–83.1916.90–30.47safer67.94–84.8615.23–32.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction8142601075safe747–882194–327941–1208safer729–900176–344905–1244
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction85.2764.38safe81.24–89.3060.05–68.70safer79.95–90.5958.74–70.01
Fouls
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2310.0818.31safe5.39–11.077.14–13.0312.53–24.09safer4.64–11.826.39–13.7711.03–25.60
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.184.35safe1.01–3.331.08–3.272.09–6.60safer0.71–3.630.79–3.561.50–7.19
Yellow cards
16%
24%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.701.632.33safe0.00–1.750.50–2.750.15–4.50safer0.00–2.020.21–3.050.00–5.06
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
89%
homeawaytotalprediction1.915.637.54safe0.48–3.354.08–7.194.55–10.54safer0.09–3.743.65–7.613.74–11.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.60 2.63–4.57 2.38–4.82 | 0.61 0.00–1.47 0.00–1.69 | 4.21 2.39–6.03 1.91–6.51 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 8.64 6.78–10.50 6.29–10.99 | 2.51 0.77–4.25 0.30–4.72 | 11.15 7.55–14.76 6.59–15.71 | 96% |
| Total shots | 22.81 18.89–26.74 17.80–27.83 | 7.34 3.78–10.90 2.82–11.86 | 30.15 22.66–37.64 20.61–39.69 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.89 11.95–17.83 11.12–18.66 | 4.97 2.29–7.65 1.55–8.39 | 19.86 14.24–25.48 12.67–27.05 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.87 3.99–7.75 3.44–8.30 | 1.79 0.14–3.44 0.00–3.94 | 7.66 4.13–11.20 3.09–12.23 | 91% |
| Corners | 8.93 6.72–11.14 6.14–11.72 | 2.70 0.70–4.70 0.17–5.23 | 11.63 7.41–15.84 6.31–16.95 | 96% |
| Possession % | 76.40 69.61–83.19 67.94–84.86 | 23.68 16.90–30.47 15.23–32.14 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 814 747–882 729–900 | 260 194–327 176–344 | 1075 941–1208 905–1244 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.27 81.24–89.30 79.95–90.59 | 64.38 60.05–68.70 58.74–70.01 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 8.23 5.39–11.07 4.64–11.82 | 10.08 7.14–13.03 6.39–13.77 | 18.31 12.53–24.09 11.03–25.60 | 29% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 2.18 1.08–3.27 0.79–3.56 | 4.35 2.09–6.60 1.50–7.19 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 0.70 0.00–1.75 0.00–2.02 | 1.63 0.50–2.75 0.21–3.05 | 2.33 0.15–4.50 0.00–5.06 | 16% 24% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.91 0.48–3.35 0.09–3.74 | 5.63 4.08–7.19 3.65–7.61 | 7.54 4.55–10.54 3.74–11.35 | 89% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.