Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.853.444.29safe0.00–1.812.59–4.302.47–6.11safer0.00–2.072.36–4.531.99–6.59
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction3.218.8212.03safe1.35–5.087.07–10.568.43–15.64safer0.86–5.576.61–11.027.47–16.59
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2521.0730.32safe5.33–13.1817.51–24.6322.83–37.81safer4.24–14.2716.55–25.5920.78–39.86
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6.1315.3421.47safe3.19–9.0712.66–18.0215.85–27.09safer2.36–9.9011.92–18.7614.28–28.66
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.555.247.79safe0.67–4.433.59–6.894.25–11.32safer0.12–4.983.09–7.383.22–12.36
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.336.9310.27safe1.12–5.554.93–8.936.05–14.48safer0.55–6.124.40–9.474.95–15.59
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction23.0077.66safe16.21–29.7970.88–84.44safer14.54–31.4669.20–86.12
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction2627931054safe195–329726–859921–1188safer176–347709–877885–1224
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction60.5985.90safe56.56–64.6281.58–90.23safer55.27–65.9280.27–91.54
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction10.408.9319.33safe7.56–13.245.98–11.8713.54–25.11safer6.81–13.995.23–12.6212.04–26.61
Offsides
44%
19%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.522.344.86safe1.36–3.681.25–3.432.61–7.11safer1.06–3.980.96–3.722.02–7.70
Yellow cards
46%
28%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.340.952.29safe0.29–2.390.00–2.080.11–4.47safer0.03–2.660.00–2.370.00–5.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.060.15safe0.00–0.250.00–0.250.00–0.50safer0.00–0.400.00–0.380.00–0.78
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.182.207.38safe3.74–6.610.65–3.764.39–10.37safer3.35–7.000.22–4.183.57–11.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.07 | 3.44 2.59–4.30 2.36–4.53 | 4.29 2.47–6.11 1.99–6.59 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 3.21 1.35–5.08 0.86–5.57 | 8.82 7.07–10.56 6.61–11.02 | 12.03 8.43–15.64 7.47–16.59 | 93% |
| Total shots | 9.25 5.33–13.18 4.24–14.27 | 21.07 17.51–24.63 16.55–25.59 | 30.32 22.83–37.81 20.78–39.86 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 6.13 3.19–9.07 2.36–9.90 | 15.34 12.66–18.02 11.92–18.76 | 21.47 15.85–27.09 14.28–28.66 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 2.55 0.67–4.43 0.12–4.98 | 5.24 3.59–6.89 3.09–7.38 | 7.79 4.25–11.32 3.22–12.36 | 79% |
| Corners | 3.33 1.12–5.55 0.55–6.12 | 6.93 4.93–8.93 4.40–9.47 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 84% |
| Possession % | 23.00 16.21–29.79 14.54–31.46 | 77.66 70.88–84.44 69.20–86.12 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 262 195–329 176–347 | 793 726–859 709–877 | 1054 921–1188 885–1224 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.59 56.56–64.62 55.27–65.92 | 85.90 81.58–90.23 80.27–91.54 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 10.40 7.56–13.24 6.81–13.99 | 8.93 5.98–11.87 5.23–12.62 | 19.33 13.54–25.11 12.04–26.61 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.68 1.06–3.98 | 2.34 1.25–3.43 0.96–3.72 | 4.86 2.61–7.11 2.02–7.70 | 44% 19% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 0.95 0.00–2.08 0.00–2.37 | 2.29 0.11–4.47 0.00–5.03 | 46% 28% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 5.18 3.74–6.61 3.35–7.00 | 2.20 0.65–3.76 0.22–4.18 | 7.38 4.39–10.37 3.57–11.18 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+