Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
25%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.452.95safe0.52–2.460.60–2.311.12–4.77safer0.27–2.710.37–2.540.64–5.25
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.364.589.94safe3.49–7.222.84–6.336.33–13.54safer3.00–7.712.37–6.795.38–14.50
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5711.8227.39safe11.64–19.498.26–15.3819.90–34.87safer10.55–20.587.30–16.3417.85–36.92
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.147.9618.10safe7.20–13.085.28–10.6512.48–23.73safer6.37–13.914.55–11.3810.91–25.29
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.663.207.85safe2.78–6.541.54–4.854.32–11.39safer2.23–7.081.05–5.343.28–12.42
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.944.2910.23safe3.73–8.162.29–6.296.02–14.44safer3.16–8.731.75–6.824.91–15.55
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.0748.93safe44.28–57.8642.14–55.71safer42.61–59.5340.47–57.38
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction470452922safe403–537385–518788–1055safer385–555368–536752–1091
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction71.9871.83safe67.95–76.0167.51–76.16safer66.66–77.3166.20–77.47
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3311.0224.35safe10.49–16.178.07–13.9618.57–30.13safer9.74–16.937.33–14.7117.06–31.64
Offsides
47%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.603.57safe0.81–3.130.51–2.701.32–5.82safer0.51–3.430.22–2.980.73–6.41
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.254.09safe0.79–2.891.12–3.381.91–6.27safer0.52–3.150.83–3.671.36–6.83
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.983.506.48safe1.54–4.411.95–5.063.49–9.47safer1.15–4.801.52–5.482.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.49 0.52–2.46 0.27–2.71 | 1.45 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 39% 25% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.49–7.22 3.00–7.71 | 4.58 2.84–6.33 2.37–6.79 | 9.94 6.33–13.54 5.38–14.50 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.57 11.64–19.49 10.55–20.58 | 11.82 8.26–15.38 7.30–16.34 | 27.39 19.90–34.87 17.85–36.92 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.14 7.20–13.08 6.37–13.91 | 7.96 5.28–10.65 4.55–11.38 | 18.10 12.48–23.73 10.91–25.29 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.66 2.78–6.54 2.23–7.08 | 3.20 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.85 4.32–11.39 3.28–12.42 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 5.94 3.73–8.16 3.16–8.73 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.75–6.82 | 10.23 6.02–14.44 4.91–15.55 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 51.07 44.28–57.86 42.61–59.53 | 48.93 42.14–55.71 40.47–57.38 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 470 403–537 385–555 | 452 385–518 368–536 | 922 788–1055 752–1091 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.98 67.95–76.01 66.66–77.31 | 71.83 67.51–76.16 66.20–77.47 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 13.33 10.49–16.17 9.74–16.93 | 11.02 8.07–13.96 7.33–14.71 | 24.35 18.57–30.13 17.06–31.64 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.13 0.51–3.43 | 1.60 0.51–2.70 0.22–2.98 | 3.57 1.32–5.82 0.73–6.41 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.79–2.89 0.52–3.15 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.98 1.54–4.41 1.15–4.80 | 3.50 1.95–5.06 1.52–5.48 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+