Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.302.98safe0.71–2.650.45–2.161.16–4.81safer0.46–2.900.22–2.390.68–5.29
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.499.31safe2.96–6.682.75–6.235.71–12.92safer2.47–7.172.28–6.704.75–13.87
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0613.2527.30safe10.13–17.989.68–16.8119.82–34.79safer9.04–19.078.73–17.7717.77–36.84
Shots in box
52%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction9.188.4417.62safe6.24–12.125.76–11.1212.00–23.24safer5.41–12.955.02–11.8610.43–24.81
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.877.71safe1.96–5.732.22–5.524.18–11.25safer1.42–6.271.73–6.023.14–12.29
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.5510.08safe3.31–7.742.55–6.555.86–14.29safer2.73–8.312.02–7.094.75–15.40
Possession %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction48.3851.70safe41.59–55.1744.92–58.49safer39.92–56.8443.25–60.16
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction472491962safe405–539424–557829–1096safer386–557407–574793–1132
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction69.6774.50safe65.64–73.7070.18–78.83safer64.35–74.9968.87–80.14
Fouls
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6311.7825.42safe10.80–16.478.84–14.7319.63–31.20safer10.04–17.238.09–15.4818.13–32.70
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.613.53safe0.76–3.080.52–2.701.27–5.78safer0.45–3.380.23–2.990.68–6.37
Yellow cards
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.823.69safe0.82–2.920.69–2.951.52–5.87safer0.56–3.190.40–3.240.96–6.43
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
42%
16%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.093.086.17safe1.65–4.531.52–4.643.18–9.16safer1.27–4.911.10–5.062.37–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.39 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.68 2.47–7.17 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.06 10.13–17.98 9.04–19.07 | 13.25 9.68–16.81 8.73–17.77 | 27.30 19.82–34.79 17.77–36.84 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.24–12.12 5.41–12.95 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 17.62 12.00–23.24 10.43–24.81 | 52% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.73–6.02 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.29 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.73–8.31 | 4.55 2.55–6.55 2.02–7.09 | 10.08 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.40 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 48.38 41.59–55.17 39.92–56.84 | 51.70 44.92–58.49 43.25–60.16 | — | 40% 55% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 386–557 | 491 424–557 407–574 | 962 829–1096 793–1132 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.67 65.64–73.70 64.35–74.99 | 74.50 70.18–78.83 68.87–80.14 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 13.63 10.80–16.47 10.04–17.23 | 11.78 8.84–14.73 8.09–15.48 | 25.42 19.63–31.20 18.13–32.70 | 61% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.45–3.38 | 1.61 0.52–2.70 0.23–2.99 | 3.53 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.09 1.65–4.53 1.27–4.91 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.97 | 42% 16% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.