Ligue 1·Regular Season - 26·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.282.83safe0.59–2.520.42–2.131.01–4.66safer0.34–2.770.20–2.360.53–5.14
Shots on target
49%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.054.659.70safe3.19–6.912.91–6.396.10–13.31safer2.70–7.402.44–6.865.14–14.26
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0211.5726.59safe11.10–18.958.01–15.1319.10–34.08safer10.01–20.047.05–16.0917.05–36.13
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.038.2718.30safe7.09–12.975.59–10.9512.68–23.92safer6.26–13.804.85–11.6911.11–25.49
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.923.127.04safe2.04–5.811.46–4.773.51–10.58safer1.50–6.350.97–5.262.47–11.61
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.4910.33safe3.63–8.052.49–6.496.12–14.55safer3.05–8.631.96–7.035.01–15.65
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction53.6946.14safe46.90–60.4839.36–52.93safer45.23–62.1537.69–54.60
Passes
70%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction512450962safe445–580383–516828–1096safer427–598366–534793–1132
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction72.0873.15safe68.05–76.1168.83–77.47safer66.76–77.4067.52–78.78
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9613.3725.33safe9.12–14.7910.43–16.3219.55–31.11safer8.36–15.559.68–17.0718.04–32.62
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.943.67safe0.57–2.890.85–3.031.41–5.92safer0.27–3.190.56–3.320.82–6.51
Yellow cards
27%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.243.83safe0.54–2.641.11–3.371.65–6.01safer0.27–2.900.82–3.661.09–6.56
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.913.536.44safe1.48–4.351.97–5.083.45–9.43safer1.09–4.741.55–5.512.63–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.52 0.34–2.77 | 1.28 0.42–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.19–6.91 2.70–7.40 | 4.65 2.91–6.39 2.44–6.86 | 9.70 6.10–13.31 5.14–14.26 | 49% 39% |
| Total shots | 15.02 11.10–18.95 10.01–20.04 | 11.57 8.01–15.13 7.05–16.09 | 26.59 19.10–34.08 17.05–36.13 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 10.03 7.09–12.97 6.26–13.80 | 8.27 5.59–10.95 4.85–11.69 | 18.30 12.68–23.92 11.11–25.49 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 7.04 3.51–10.58 2.47–11.61 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.05 3.05–8.63 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.03 | 10.33 6.12–14.55 5.01–15.65 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 53.69 46.90–60.48 45.23–62.15 | 46.14 39.36–52.93 37.69–54.60 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 512 445–580 427–598 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 962 828–1096 793–1132 | 70% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.08 68.05–76.11 66.76–77.40 | 73.15 68.83–77.47 67.52–78.78 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.96 9.12–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 13.37 10.43–16.32 9.68–17.07 | 25.33 19.55–31.11 18.04–32.62 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.09–6.56 | 27% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.48–4.35 1.09–4.74 | 3.53 1.97–5.08 1.55–5.51 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.63–10.24 | 33% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+