Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.372.72safe0.39–2.320.51–2.220.90–4.54safer0.13–2.570.28–2.450.42–5.02
Shots on target
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.569.28safe2.86–6.582.82–6.305.67–12.88safer2.37–7.072.35–6.774.72–13.84
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction15.4413.1028.54safe11.51–19.369.54–16.6621.05–36.02safer10.42–20.458.58–17.6219.00–38.07
Shots in box
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.988.7718.75safe7.04–12.926.09–11.4513.13–24.37safer6.21–13.755.35–12.1911.56–25.94
Blocked shots
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.424.268.68safe2.54–6.302.61–5.925.15–12.22safer1.99–6.852.12–6.414.11–13.25
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.519.96safe3.24–7.672.51–6.515.75–14.18safer2.67–8.241.98–7.044.64–15.28
Possession %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction46.6454.36safe39.85–53.4347.58–61.15safer38.18–55.1045.91–62.82
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction454515969safe387–522448–581835–1103safer369–540431–599800–1138
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.7075.51safe62.67–70.7371.19–79.84safer61.38–72.0269.88–81.15
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5110.8922.40safe8.67–14.357.95–13.8416.62–28.18safer7.91–15.107.20–14.5815.11–29.69
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.773.58safe0.65–2.970.67–2.861.33–5.83safer0.35–3.270.39–3.150.74–6.42
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.971.773.74safe0.92–3.020.64–2.901.56–5.92safer0.65–3.280.35–3.191.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.263.206.46safe1.82–4.691.65–4.763.47–9.45safer1.43–5.081.22–5.182.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.72 0.90–4.54 0.42–5.02 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.58 2.37–7.07 | 4.56 2.82–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 9.28 5.67–12.88 4.72–13.84 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 15.44 11.51–19.36 10.42–20.45 | 13.10 9.54–16.66 8.58–17.62 | 28.54 21.05–36.02 19.00–38.07 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.98 7.04–12.92 6.21–13.75 | 8.77 6.09–11.45 5.35–12.19 | 18.75 13.13–24.37 11.56–25.94 | 57% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.42 2.54–6.30 1.99–6.85 | 4.26 2.61–5.92 2.12–6.41 | 8.68 5.15–12.22 4.11–13.25 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.04 | 9.96 5.75–14.18 4.64–15.28 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 46.64 39.85–53.43 38.18–55.10 | 54.36 47.58–61.15 45.91–62.82 | — | 30% 65% |
| Passes | 454 387–522 369–540 | 515 448–581 431–599 | 969 835–1103 800–1138 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.70 62.67–70.73 61.38–72.02 | 75.51 71.19–79.84 69.88–81.15 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.67–14.35 7.91–15.10 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.58 | 22.40 16.62–28.18 15.11–29.69 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.77 0.67–2.86 0.39–3.15 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.97 0.92–3.02 0.65–3.28 | 1.77 0.64–2.90 0.35–3.19 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.26 1.82–4.69 1.43–5.08 | 3.20 1.65–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+