Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.372.83safe0.49–2.430.51–2.221.01–4.65safer0.24–2.680.29–2.450.53–5.13
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.429.16safe2.88–6.612.67–6.165.56–12.77safer2.39–7.102.21–6.624.60–13.72
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9911.9025.89safe10.07–17.928.34–15.4618.41–33.38safer8.98–19.017.38–16.4216.35–35.43
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction8.737.8916.62safe5.78–11.675.21–10.5710.99–22.24safer4.96–12.504.47–11.319.43–23.81
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.513.497.00safe1.63–5.391.84–5.143.46–10.53safer1.08–5.931.34–5.632.43–11.57
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.619.73safe2.91–7.342.61–6.615.52–13.95safer2.34–7.912.08–7.144.41–15.05
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.7552.32safe40.96–54.5445.53–59.10safer39.29–56.2143.86–60.77
Passes
38%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction467502969safe400–534436–569836–1103safer382–553418–586800–1139
Pass accuracy %
22%
74%
homeawayprediction69.8175.41safe65.78–73.8471.09–79.74safer64.49–75.1469.78–81.04
Fouls
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9814.1924.17safe7.14–12.8211.24–17.1318.39–29.95safer6.39–13.5710.50–17.8816.88–31.46
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.703.55safe0.68–3.010.61–2.791.29–5.80safer0.38–3.310.32–3.080.70–6.39
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.023.45safe0.38–2.480.89–3.151.27–5.63safer0.12–2.750.60–3.440.72–6.19
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.993.216.20safe1.56–4.431.65–4.773.21–9.19safer1.17–4.821.23–5.192.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.29–2.45 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.75 2.88–6.61 2.39–7.10 | 4.42 2.67–6.16 2.21–6.62 | 9.16 5.56–12.77 4.60–13.72 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 11.90 8.34–15.46 7.38–16.42 | 25.89 18.41–33.38 16.35–35.43 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 8.73 5.78–11.67 4.96–12.50 | 7.89 5.21–10.57 4.47–11.31 | 16.62 10.99–22.24 9.43–23.81 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.51 1.63–5.39 1.08–5.93 | 3.49 1.84–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.14 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 47.75 40.96–54.54 39.29–56.21 | 52.32 45.53–59.10 43.86–60.77 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–553 | 502 436–569 418–586 | 969 836–1103 800–1139 | 38% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.81 65.78–73.84 64.49–75.14 | 75.41 71.09–79.74 69.78–81.04 | — | 22% 74% |
| Fouls | 9.98 7.14–12.82 6.39–13.57 | 14.19 11.24–17.13 10.50–17.88 | 24.17 18.39–29.95 16.88–31.46 | 17% 78% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.01 0.38–3.31 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.55 1.29–5.80 0.70–6.39 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.12–2.75 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.56–4.43 1.17–4.82 | 3.21 1.65–4.77 1.23–5.19 | 6.20 3.21–9.19 2.40–10.01 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.