Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.592.77safe0.21–2.150.74–2.450.95–4.60safer0.00–2.400.51–2.670.47–5.08
Shots on target
28%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.065.299.35safe2.20–5.923.54–7.035.74–12.95safer1.71–6.413.08–7.494.79–13.91
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0013.1226.13safe9.08–16.939.56–16.6918.64–33.61safer7.99–18.028.60–17.6516.59–35.66
Shots in box
39%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction7.838.4616.29safe4.89–10.775.78–11.1410.67–21.92safer4.06–11.605.04–11.889.10–23.48
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.343.626.96safe1.45–5.221.97–5.283.42–10.49safer0.91–5.761.48–5.772.39–11.53
Corners
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.884.749.62safe2.66–7.092.74–6.745.41–13.83safer2.09–7.662.21–7.284.30–14.94
Possession %
38%
58%
homeawayprediction47.8752.09safe41.08–54.6645.31–58.88safer39.41–56.3343.64–60.55
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction478514992safe411–545447–580858–1126safer393–563430–598822–1161
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction69.4075.30safe65.37–73.4370.97–79.62safer64.08–74.7369.66–80.93
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9212.3624.27safe9.08–14.759.41–15.3018.49–30.06safer8.32–15.518.66–16.0516.99–31.56
Offsides
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.833.34safe0.35–2.680.74–2.921.09–5.60safer0.05–2.980.45–3.210.50–6.19
Yellow cards
33%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.334.27safe0.89–2.991.20–3.462.09–6.44safer0.62–3.260.91–3.751.53–7.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.016.24safe1.79–4.661.46–4.573.24–9.23safer1.40–5.051.03–4.992.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.59 0.74–2.45 0.51–2.67 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.06 2.20–5.92 1.71–6.41 | 5.29 3.54–7.03 3.08–7.49 | 9.35 5.74–12.95 4.79–13.91 | 28% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.00 9.08–16.93 7.99–18.02 | 13.12 9.56–16.69 8.60–17.65 | 26.13 18.64–33.61 16.59–35.66 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.77 4.06–11.60 | 8.46 5.78–11.14 5.04–11.88 | 16.29 10.67–21.92 9.10–23.48 | 39% 51% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.45–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 6.96 3.42–10.49 2.39–11.53 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.21–7.28 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Possession % | 47.87 41.08–54.66 39.41–56.33 | 52.09 45.31–58.88 43.64–60.55 | — | 38% 58% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 393–563 | 514 447–580 430–598 | 992 858–1126 822–1161 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.40 65.37–73.43 64.08–74.73 | 75.30 70.97–79.62 69.66–80.93 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.92 9.08–14.75 8.32–15.51 | 12.36 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.05 | 24.27 18.49–30.06 16.99–31.56 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.19 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.26 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 4.27 2.09–6.44 1.53–7.00 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.24 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.