Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.991.862.85safe0.02–1.961.00–2.711.03–4.67safer0.00–2.210.77–2.940.55–5.15
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.885.699.58safe2.02–5.753.95–7.445.97–13.18safer1.53–6.243.49–7.905.02–14.14
Total shots
27%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8014.4926.29safe7.87–15.7210.93–18.0518.80–33.77safer6.78–16.819.97–19.0116.75–35.82
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1710.3518.52safe5.23–11.117.67–13.0312.90–24.15safer4.40–11.946.94–13.7711.33–25.71
Blocked shots
34%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.213.766.97safe1.33–5.092.10–5.413.43–10.50safer0.79–5.641.61–5.902.40–11.54
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.735.259.98safe2.51–6.943.25–7.255.77–14.19safer1.94–7.512.72–7.794.66–15.30
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.2463.31safe28.45–42.0356.53–70.10safer26.78–43.7054.86–71.77
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction336576913safe269–403510–643779–1046safer251–422492–660743–1082
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction61.7675.75safe57.73–65.7971.43–80.08safer56.44–67.0870.12–81.39
Fouls
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8111.0024.81safe10.97–16.658.06–13.9519.03–30.59safer10.21–17.407.31–14.7017.52–32.10
Offsides
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.104.02safe0.76–3.081.01–3.191.77–6.28safer0.46–3.380.72–3.481.18–6.86
Yellow cards
45%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.533.37safe0.80–2.900.40–2.661.19–5.55safer0.53–3.160.11–2.950.64–6.11
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.982.636.61safe2.54–5.421.07–4.183.62–9.60safer2.16–5.800.65–4.612.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 1.86 1.00–2.71 0.77–2.94 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.88 2.02–5.75 1.53–6.24 | 5.69 3.95–7.44 3.49–7.90 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.80 7.87–15.72 6.78–16.81 | 14.49 10.93–18.05 9.97–19.01 | 26.29 18.80–33.77 16.75–35.82 | 27% 67% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.23–11.11 4.40–11.94 | 10.35 7.67–13.03 6.94–13.77 | 18.52 12.90–24.15 11.33–25.71 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.79–5.64 | 3.76 2.10–5.41 1.61–5.90 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 34% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.73 2.51–6.94 1.94–7.51 | 5.25 3.25–7.25 2.72–7.79 | 9.98 5.77–14.19 4.66–15.30 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 35.24 28.45–42.03 26.78–43.70 | 63.31 56.53–70.10 54.86–71.77 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 336 269–403 251–422 | 576 510–643 492–660 | 913 779–1046 743–1082 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.76 57.73–65.79 56.44–67.08 | 75.75 71.43–80.08 70.12–81.39 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 13.81 10.97–16.65 10.21–17.40 | 11.00 8.06–13.95 7.31–14.70 | 24.81 19.03–30.59 17.52–32.10 | 68% 25% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 2.10 1.01–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 4.02 1.77–6.28 1.18–6.86 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.53 0.40–2.66 0.11–2.95 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 45% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.98 2.54–5.42 2.16–5.80 | 2.63 1.07–4.18 0.65–4.61 | 6.61 3.62–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.