Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 19·Predicted match statistics
Goals
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.070.813.88safe2.10–4.040.00–1.662.06–5.70safer1.85–4.290.00–1.891.58–6.18
Shots on target
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.563.1811.73safe6.69–10.421.43–4.928.13–15.34safer6.20–10.910.97–5.397.17–16.29
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction22.228.5430.76safe18.29–26.144.98–12.1123.27–38.25safer17.20–27.234.02–13.0721.22–40.30
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction15.405.3420.74safe12.46–18.342.66–8.0215.11–26.36safer11.63–19.171.92–8.7613.55–27.93
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.812.318.12safe3.93–7.700.65–3.964.59–11.66safer3.39–8.240.16–4.453.55–12.69
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.302.5810.88safe6.09–10.510.58–4.586.67–15.10safer5.51–11.090.05–5.125.56–16.20
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.5432.24safe60.75–74.3325.46–39.03safer59.08–76.0023.79–40.70
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7513741126safe684–819308–441992–1259safer666–837290–458956–1295
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction82.6271.99safe78.59–86.6567.67–76.32safer77.30–87.9466.36–77.62
Fouls
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.769.5217.28safe4.92–10.596.58–12.4711.50–23.06safer4.16–11.355.83–13.229.99–24.57
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.943.96safe0.86–3.180.85–3.031.71–6.22safer0.56–3.490.56–3.321.12–6.81
Yellow cards
21%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.612.52safe0.00–1.960.48–2.740.34–4.70safer0.00–2.220.19–3.030.00–5.25
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.285.457.73safe0.85–3.723.89–7.014.74–10.73safer0.46–4.113.47–7.433.93–11.54
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.07 2.10–4.04 1.85–4.29 | 0.81 0.00–1.66 0.00–1.89 | 3.88 2.06–5.70 1.58–6.18 | 82% |
| Shots on target | 8.56 6.69–10.42 6.20–10.91 | 3.18 1.43–4.92 0.97–5.39 | 11.73 8.13–15.34 7.17–16.29 | 93% |
| Total shots | 22.22 18.29–26.14 17.20–27.23 | 8.54 4.98–12.11 4.02–13.07 | 30.76 23.27–38.25 21.22–40.30 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 15.40 12.46–18.34 11.63–19.17 | 5.34 2.66–8.02 1.92–8.76 | 20.74 15.11–26.36 13.55–27.93 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.93–7.70 3.39–8.24 | 2.31 0.65–3.96 0.16–4.45 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.69 | 86% |
| Corners | 8.30 6.09–10.51 5.51–11.09 | 2.58 0.58–4.58 0.05–5.12 | 10.88 6.67–15.10 5.56–16.20 | 95% |
| Possession % | 67.54 60.75–74.33 59.08–76.00 | 32.24 25.46–39.03 23.79–40.70 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 751 684–819 666–837 | 374 308–441 290–458 | 1126 992–1259 956–1295 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 82.62 78.59–86.65 77.30–87.94 | 71.99 67.67–76.32 66.36–77.62 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 7.76 4.92–10.59 4.16–11.35 | 9.52 6.58–12.47 5.83–13.22 | 17.28 11.50–23.06 9.99–24.57 | 29% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.49 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.96 1.71–6.22 1.12–6.81 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 0.91 0.00–1.96 0.00–2.22 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 2.52 0.34–4.70 0.00–5.25 | 21% 25% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 5.45 3.89–7.01 3.47–7.43 | 7.73 4.74–10.73 3.93–11.54 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.