Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
23%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.192.96safe0.80–2.740.33–2.041.13–4.78safer0.55–2.990.10–2.270.65–5.26
Shots on target
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.583.889.46safe3.72–7.442.14–5.635.86–13.07safer3.23–7.931.68–6.094.90–14.02
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3010.9026.20safe11.38–19.237.34–14.4618.71–33.69safer10.28–20.326.38–15.4216.66–35.74
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction10.417.2617.67safe7.47–13.354.58–9.9412.05–23.29safer6.64–14.183.84–10.6810.48–24.86
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.072.836.91safe2.19–5.961.18–4.493.37–10.44safer1.65–6.500.69–4.982.34–11.48
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.453.799.23safe3.23–7.661.79–5.795.02–13.45safer2.66–8.231.25–6.323.91–14.55
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.7945.85safe48.00–61.5839.07–52.64safer46.33–63.2537.40–54.31
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5514911042safe484–618424–557908–1175safer466–636407–575872–1211
Pass accuracy %
49%
46%
homeawayprediction73.8973.66safe69.86–77.9269.34–77.99safer68.56–79.2168.03–79.30
Fouls
24%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8412.6922.53safe7.00–12.689.74–15.6316.75–28.31safer6.25–13.438.99–16.3815.24–29.82
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.013.70safe0.53–2.850.92–3.101.45–5.96safer0.23–3.150.63–3.390.86–6.55
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.783.23safe0.40–2.500.65–2.911.05–5.41safer0.14–2.770.36–3.200.49–5.96
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.536.20safe1.24–4.111.98–5.093.21–9.20safer0.85–4.491.55–5.512.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.96 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 51% 23% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.58 3.72–7.44 3.23–7.93 | 3.88 2.14–5.63 1.68–6.09 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 65% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.38–19.23 10.28–20.32 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.47–13.35 6.64–14.18 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 17.67 12.05–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 4.07 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 2.83 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.91 3.37–10.44 2.34–11.48 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.23–7.66 2.66–8.23 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.25–6.32 | 9.23 5.02–13.45 3.91–14.55 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 54.79 48.00–61.58 46.33–63.25 | 45.85 39.07–52.64 37.40–54.31 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 551 484–618 466–636 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 1042 908–1175 872–1211 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.89 69.86–77.92 68.56–79.21 | 73.66 69.34–77.99 68.03–79.30 | — | 49% 46% |
| Fouls | 9.84 7.00–12.68 6.25–13.43 | 12.69 9.74–15.63 8.99–16.38 | 22.53 16.75–28.31 15.24–29.82 | 24% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.45 0.40–2.50 0.14–2.77 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.23 1.05–5.41 0.49–5.96 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.49 | 3.53 1.98–5.09 1.55–5.51 | 6.20 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 29% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+