Predicted match statistics
Goals
58%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.093.04safe0.99–2.920.23–1.941.22–4.86safer0.74–3.180.00–2.170.74–5.34
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.803.749.54safe3.93–7.662.00–5.485.93–13.14safer3.44–8.151.53–5.954.97–14.10
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.359.8426.19safe12.43–20.286.28–13.4018.71–33.68safer11.34–21.375.32–14.3616.66–35.73
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.266.4517.71safe8.32–14.203.77–9.1312.08–23.33safer7.49–15.033.03–9.8710.52–24.90
Blocked shots
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.112.346.45safe2.23–5.990.68–3.992.91–9.98safer1.68–6.540.19–4.481.87–11.02
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.243.9510.19safe4.03–8.451.95–5.955.97–14.40safer3.45–9.031.41–6.484.87–15.51
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction56.8643.01safe50.07–63.6536.22–49.79safer48.40–65.3234.55–51.46
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction533402935safe466–600336–469802–1069safer447–618318–486766–1105
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction74.7970.50safe70.76–78.8266.17–74.82safer69.47–80.1264.87–76.13
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0813.0124.09safe8.24–13.9210.07–15.9618.31–29.87safer7.49–14.679.32–16.7116.81–31.38
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.071.783.85safe0.91–3.230.69–2.881.60–6.11safer0.61–3.530.40–3.171.01–6.70
Yellow cards
26%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.203.71safe0.46–2.561.07–3.331.53–5.88safer0.19–2.820.78–3.620.97–6.44
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.576.18safe1.17–4.042.01–5.133.19–9.17safer0.79–4.431.59–5.552.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 0.99–2.92 0.74–3.18 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 58% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.80 3.93–7.66 3.44–8.15 | 3.74 2.00–5.48 1.53–5.95 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.97–14.10 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.35 12.43–20.28 11.34–21.37 | 9.84 6.28–13.40 5.32–14.36 | 26.19 18.71–33.68 16.66–35.73 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.26 8.32–14.20 7.49–15.03 | 6.45 3.77–9.13 3.03–9.87 | 17.71 12.08–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.23–5.99 1.68–6.54 | 2.34 0.68–3.99 0.19–4.48 | 6.45 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.02 | 69% 18% |
| Corners | 6.24 4.03–8.45 3.45–9.03 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.41–6.48 | 10.19 5.97–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.86 50.07–63.65 48.40–65.32 | 43.01 36.22–49.79 34.55–51.46 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 533 466–600 447–618 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 935 802–1069 766–1105 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.79 70.76–78.82 69.47–80.12 | 70.50 66.17–74.82 64.87–76.13 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.24–13.92 7.49–14.67 | 13.01 10.07–15.96 9.32–16.71 | 24.09 18.31–29.87 16.81–31.38 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.85 1.60–6.11 1.01–6.70 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.19–2.82 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 3.71 1.53–5.88 0.97–6.44 | 26% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.04 0.79–4.43 | 3.57 2.01–5.13 1.59–5.55 | 6.18 3.19–9.17 2.37–9.98 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.