Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.582.96safe0.41–2.340.73–2.441.14–4.78safer0.15–2.590.50–2.670.66–5.26
Shots on target
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.465.089.55safe2.60–6.333.34–6.825.94–13.15safer2.11–6.822.87–7.294.98–14.11
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4313.3126.74safe9.51–17.369.75–16.8819.26–34.23safer8.41–18.458.79–17.8417.21–36.28
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.178.5816.76safe5.23–11.125.90–11.2611.13–22.38safer4.40–11.955.17–12.009.57–23.95
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.653.697.35safe1.77–5.542.04–5.343.81–10.88safer1.23–6.081.55–5.842.77–11.92
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.9710.09safe2.91–7.342.97–6.975.88–14.31safer2.33–7.912.44–7.504.77–15.41
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction45.9953.51safe39.20–52.7846.72–60.29safer37.53–54.4545.05–61.96
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4895331022safe422–557466–599889–1156safer404–575449–617853–1192
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction70.3176.02safe66.28–74.3471.70–80.35safer64.99–75.6370.39–81.66
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4812.1824.67safe9.65–15.329.24–15.1318.88–30.45safer8.89–16.088.49–15.8817.38–31.95
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.803.45safe0.50–2.820.70–2.891.20–5.71safer0.20–3.120.42–3.180.61–6.30
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.643.27safe0.58–2.680.51–2.771.09–5.45safer0.31–2.950.22–3.060.53–6.00
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
16%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.166.39safe1.80–4.671.60–4.713.40–9.38safer1.41–5.061.18–5.142.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.41–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.58 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 33% 24% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.46 2.60–6.33 2.11–6.82 | 5.08 3.34–6.82 2.87–7.29 | 9.55 5.94–13.15 4.98–14.11 | 36% 51% |
| Total shots | 13.43 9.51–17.36 8.41–18.45 | 13.31 9.75–16.88 8.79–17.84 | 26.74 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.17 5.23–11.12 4.40–11.95 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.17–12.00 | 16.76 11.13–22.38 9.57–23.95 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.65 1.77–5.54 1.23–6.08 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.55–5.84 | 7.35 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.92 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.33–7.91 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.50 | 10.09 5.88–14.31 4.77–15.41 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 45.99 39.20–52.78 37.53–54.45 | 53.51 46.72–60.29 45.05–61.96 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 489 422–557 404–575 | 533 466–599 449–617 | 1022 889–1156 853–1192 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.31 66.28–74.34 64.99–75.63 | 76.02 71.70–80.35 70.39–81.66 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.48 9.65–15.32 8.89–16.08 | 12.18 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 24.67 18.88–30.45 17.38–31.95 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.45 1.20–5.71 0.61–6.30 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.95 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.27 1.09–5.45 0.53–6.00 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.80–4.67 1.41–5.06 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.18–5.14 | 6.39 3.40–9.38 2.59–10.20 | 43% 16% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.