Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.372.69safe0.35–2.290.51–2.220.86–4.51safer0.10–2.540.28–2.450.38–4.99
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.158.46safe2.45–6.172.41–5.894.86–12.07safer1.96–6.661.94–6.363.90–13.02
Total shots
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2412.0624.31safe8.32–16.178.50–15.6216.82–31.79safer7.23–17.267.54–16.5814.77–33.84
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction7.767.7015.46safe4.82–10.715.01–10.389.84–21.08safer3.99–11.544.28–11.118.27–22.65
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.173.046.21safe1.29–5.051.39–4.702.68–9.75safer0.74–5.600.90–5.191.64–10.78
Corners
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.679.91safe3.03–7.452.67–6.675.70–14.12safer2.45–8.032.14–7.204.59–15.23
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.2345.25safe48.44–62.0238.46–52.03safer46.77–63.6936.79–53.70
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction537402939safe470–605335–468805–1073safer452–623318–486770–1108
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction71.8870.12safe67.85–75.9165.79–74.44safer66.56–77.2064.48–75.75
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5412.0922.63safe7.70–13.389.14–15.0316.85–28.41safer6.95–14.138.40–15.7815.34–29.92
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.403.25safe0.69–3.010.30–2.491.00–5.50safer0.39–3.310.02–2.780.41–6.09
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.623.14safe0.48–2.580.49–2.750.97–5.32safer0.21–2.840.20–3.040.41–5.88
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.085.86safe1.35–4.221.52–4.642.87–8.85safer0.96–4.611.10–5.062.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.69 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 36% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 4.15 2.41–5.89 1.94–6.36 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.02 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.24 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 12.06 8.50–15.62 7.54–16.58 | 24.31 16.82–31.79 14.77–33.84 | 47% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.76 4.82–10.71 3.99–11.54 | 7.70 5.01–10.38 4.28–11.11 | 15.46 9.84–21.08 8.27–22.65 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.17 1.29–5.05 0.74–5.60 | 3.04 1.39–4.70 0.90–5.19 | 6.21 2.68–9.75 1.64–10.78 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.45 2.45–8.03 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.20 | 9.91 5.70–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 51% 37% |
| Possession % | 55.23 48.44–62.02 46.77–63.69 | 45.25 38.46–52.03 36.79–53.70 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 537 470–605 452–623 | 402 335–468 318–486 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.88 67.85–75.91 66.56–77.20 | 70.12 65.79–74.44 64.48–75.75 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.70–13.38 6.95–14.13 | 12.09 9.14–15.03 8.40–15.78 | 22.63 16.85–28.41 15.34–29.92 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.62 0.49–2.75 0.20–3.04 | 3.14 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.08 1.52–4.64 1.10–5.06 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.06–9.67 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+