Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.240.653.89safe2.27–4.210.00–1.512.07–5.71safer2.02–4.460.00–1.741.59–6.19
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.092.6410.73safe6.23–9.960.90–4.387.13–14.34safer5.74–10.440.43–4.856.17–15.29
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.867.7028.56safe16.94–24.794.14–11.2621.07–36.05safer15.85–25.883.18–12.2219.02–38.10
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction13.825.3719.19safe10.88–16.762.69–8.0513.57–24.82safer10.05–17.591.95–8.7912.00–26.38
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.601.857.44safe3.71–7.480.19–3.503.91–10.98safer3.17–8.020.00–3.992.87–12.01
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.752.5611.30safe6.53–10.960.56–4.567.09–15.52safer5.96–11.530.02–5.095.98–16.62
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction74.0026.39safe67.21–80.7919.61–33.18safer65.54–82.4617.93–34.85
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7912941085safe724–858228–361952–1219safer706–876210–378916–1255
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction85.1167.16safe81.08–89.1462.83–71.48safer79.79–90.4361.52–72.79
Fouls
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1010.6619.75safe6.26–11.937.71–13.6013.97–25.54safer5.50–12.696.97–14.3512.47–27.04
Offsides
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.214.41safe1.05–3.371.11–3.302.16–6.67safer0.74–3.670.83–3.591.57–7.26
Yellow cards
16%
22%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction0.791.822.61safe0.00–1.830.69–2.950.43–4.78safer0.00–2.100.40–3.240.00–5.34
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction2.034.936.95safe0.59–3.473.37–6.483.96–9.95safer0.21–3.852.94–6.913.15–10.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.24 2.27–4.21 2.02–4.46 | 0.65 0.00–1.51 0.00–1.74 | 3.89 2.07–5.71 1.59–6.19 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.09 6.23–9.96 5.74–10.44 | 2.64 0.90–4.38 0.43–4.85 | 10.73 7.13–14.34 6.17–15.29 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.86 16.94–24.79 15.85–25.88 | 7.70 4.14–11.26 3.18–12.22 | 28.56 21.07–36.05 19.02–38.10 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.82 10.88–16.76 10.05–17.59 | 5.37 2.69–8.05 1.95–8.79 | 19.19 13.57–24.82 12.00–26.38 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.60 3.71–7.48 3.17–8.02 | 1.85 0.19–3.50 0.00–3.99 | 7.44 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.01 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.75 6.53–10.96 5.96–11.53 | 2.56 0.56–4.56 0.02–5.09 | 11.30 7.09–15.52 5.98–16.62 | 96% |
| Possession % | 74.00 67.21–80.79 65.54–82.46 | 26.39 19.61–33.18 17.93–34.85 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 791 724–858 706–876 | 294 228–361 210–378 | 1085 952–1219 916–1255 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.11 81.08–89.14 79.79–90.43 | 67.16 62.83–71.48 61.52–72.79 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 9.10 6.26–11.93 5.50–12.69 | 10.66 7.71–13.60 6.97–14.35 | 19.75 13.97–25.54 12.47–27.04 | 32% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.74–3.67 | 2.21 1.11–3.30 0.83–3.59 | 4.41 2.16–6.67 1.57–7.26 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 0.79 0.00–1.83 0.00–2.10 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 2.61 0.43–4.78 0.00–5.34 | 16% 22% 62% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.03 0.59–3.47 0.21–3.85 | 4.93 3.37–6.48 2.94–6.91 | 6.95 3.96–9.95 3.15–10.76 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+