Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.513.08safe0.61–2.540.65–2.361.26–4.91safer0.36–2.790.43–2.590.78–5.39
Shots on target
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.9310.13safe3.33–7.063.19–6.676.52–13.73safer2.84–7.552.72–7.145.57–14.69
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8814.1929.07safe10.96–18.8010.62–17.7521.58–36.55safer9.86–19.909.66–18.7119.53–38.60
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction9.339.3318.66safe6.39–12.286.65–12.0113.04–24.29safer5.56–13.105.91–12.7511.47–25.85
Blocked shots
33%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.994.778.76safe2.11–5.873.12–6.435.23–12.30safer1.57–6.422.63–6.924.19–13.33
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.7410.12safe3.17–7.602.74–6.745.91–14.33safer2.60–8.172.20–7.274.80–15.44
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction52.3048.85safe45.51–59.0942.06–55.63safer43.84–60.7640.39–57.30
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction513453966safe446–580387–520833–1100safer428–599369–537797–1136
Pass accuracy %
22%
73%
homeawayprediction67.9873.34safe63.95–72.0169.02–77.66safer62.66–73.3067.71–78.97
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9812.6423.62safe8.14–13.819.70–15.5917.84–29.40safer7.38–14.578.95–16.3416.33–30.90
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.703.31safe0.45–2.770.61–2.791.06–5.56safer0.15–3.070.32–3.080.47–6.15
Yellow cards
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.123.94safe0.76–2.861.00–3.251.76–6.12safer0.50–3.130.70–3.541.20–6.67
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
42%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.353.386.73safe1.91–4.791.82–4.933.73–9.72safer1.53–5.171.39–5.362.92–10.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.61–2.54 0.36–2.79 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.43–2.59 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.33–7.06 2.84–7.55 | 4.93 3.19–6.67 2.72–7.14 | 10.13 6.52–13.73 5.57–14.69 | 47% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.88 10.96–18.80 9.86–19.90 | 14.19 10.62–17.75 9.66–18.71 | 29.07 21.58–36.55 19.53–38.60 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.33 6.39–12.28 5.56–13.10 | 9.33 6.65–12.01 5.91–12.75 | 18.66 13.04–24.29 11.47–25.85 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 4.77 3.12–6.43 2.63–6.92 | 8.76 5.23–12.30 4.19–13.33 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.74 2.74–6.74 2.20–7.27 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 52.30 45.51–59.09 43.84–60.76 | 48.85 42.06–55.63 40.39–57.30 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 513 446–580 428–599 | 453 387–520 369–537 | 966 833–1100 797–1136 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.98 63.95–72.01 62.66–73.30 | 73.34 69.02–77.66 67.71–78.97 | — | 22% 73% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.81 7.38–14.57 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.34 | 23.62 17.84–29.40 16.33–30.90 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.15–3.07 | 1.70 0.61–2.79 0.32–3.08 | 3.31 1.06–5.56 0.47–6.15 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.50–3.13 | 2.12 1.00–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.20–6.67 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.79 1.53–5.17 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.39–5.36 | 6.73 3.73–9.72 2.92–10.53 | 42% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.