Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.592.77safe0.21–2.150.73–2.440.94–4.59safer0.00–2.400.50–2.670.46–5.07
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.654.949.59safe2.79–6.523.20–6.685.99–13.20safer2.30–7.012.73–7.155.03–14.15
Total shots
43%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1814.6428.82safe10.26–18.1011.08–18.2121.34–36.31safer9.16–19.2010.12–19.1619.28–38.36
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.429.9619.38safe6.48–12.377.28–12.6413.76–25.01safer5.65–13.196.54–13.3812.19–26.57
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.753.997.74safe1.87–5.642.33–5.644.21–11.28safer1.33–6.181.84–6.133.17–12.31
Corners
44%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5.445.4210.86safe3.23–7.653.42–7.426.65–15.08safer2.65–8.232.89–7.965.54–16.18
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.4459.81safe32.65–46.2353.02–66.59safer30.98–47.9051.35–68.26
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction335505840safe268–402439–572707–974safer250–420421–589671–1010
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction61.9173.77safe57.88–65.9469.45–78.10safer56.59–67.2368.14–79.41
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7012.3826.07safe10.86–16.539.43–15.3220.29–31.85safer10.10–17.298.68–16.0718.78–33.36
Offsides
39%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.873.74safe0.71–3.030.78–2.971.49–6.00safer0.41–3.330.49–3.260.90–6.59
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.743.60safe0.80–2.900.62–2.871.42–5.77safer0.54–3.170.32–3.160.86–6.33
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.383.256.63safe1.94–4.811.70–4.813.64–9.62safer1.55–5.201.27–5.232.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.77 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.65 2.79–6.52 2.30–7.01 | 4.94 3.20–6.68 2.73–7.15 | 9.59 5.99–13.20 5.03–14.15 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.18 10.26–18.10 9.16–19.20 | 14.64 11.08–18.21 10.12–19.16 | 28.82 21.34–36.31 19.28–38.36 | 43% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.37 5.65–13.19 | 9.96 7.28–12.64 6.54–13.38 | 19.38 13.76–25.01 12.19–26.57 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.75 1.87–5.64 1.33–6.18 | 3.99 2.33–5.64 1.84–6.13 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.44 3.23–7.65 2.65–8.23 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.96 | 10.86 6.65–15.08 5.54–16.18 | 44% 44% |
| Possession % | 39.44 32.65–46.23 30.98–47.90 | 59.81 53.02–66.59 51.35–68.26 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 335 268–402 250–420 | 505 439–572 421–589 | 840 707–974 671–1010 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.91 57.88–65.94 56.59–67.23 | 73.77 69.45–78.10 68.14–79.41 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.70 10.86–16.53 10.10–17.29 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 26.07 20.29–31.85 18.78–33.36 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.87 0.78–2.97 0.49–3.26 | 3.74 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.74 0.62–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 6.63 3.64–9.62 2.82–10.43 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.