Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.252.89safe0.67–2.600.40–2.101.06–4.71safer0.42–2.860.17–2.330.58–5.19
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.309.78safe3.62–7.352.55–6.046.17–13.38safer3.13–7.832.09–6.505.22–14.34
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0612.5226.58safe10.13–17.988.96–16.0819.09–34.06safer9.04–19.078.00–17.0417.04–36.11
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.207.7816.99safe6.26–12.145.10–10.4711.36–22.61safer5.43–12.974.37–11.209.80–24.18
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.567.34safe1.90–5.671.90–5.213.81–10.88safer1.36–6.211.41–5.702.77–11.91
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.519.92safe3.19–7.622.51–6.515.71–14.13safer2.62–8.201.98–7.054.60–15.24
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction53.3248.15safe46.53–60.1241.37–54.94safer44.86–61.7839.70–56.61
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5314701001safe464–598404–537868–1135safer446–616386–554832–1171
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction73.7275.44safe69.69–77.7571.11–79.76safer68.40–79.0569.80–81.07
Fouls
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6210.4922.11safe8.78–14.457.55–13.4416.33–27.89safer8.02–15.216.80–14.1914.82–29.40
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.423.43safe0.85–3.170.33–2.511.18–5.68safer0.55–3.470.04–2.800.59–6.27
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.613.21safe0.54–2.640.49–2.741.03–5.38safer0.28–2.910.19–3.040.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.506.44safe1.51–4.381.94–5.053.45–9.44safer1.12–4.771.52–5.482.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.60 0.42–2.86 | 1.25 0.40–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 46% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.48 3.62–7.35 3.13–7.83 | 4.30 2.55–6.04 2.09–6.50 | 9.78 6.17–13.38 5.22–14.34 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.06 10.13–17.98 9.04–19.07 | 12.52 8.96–16.08 8.00–17.04 | 26.58 19.09–34.06 17.04–36.11 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.26–12.14 5.43–12.97 | 7.78 5.10–10.47 4.37–11.20 | 16.99 11.36–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 3.56 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.20 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.32 46.53–60.12 44.86–61.78 | 48.15 41.37–54.94 39.70–56.61 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 531 464–598 446–616 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 1001 868–1135 832–1171 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.72 69.69–77.75 68.40–79.05 | 75.44 71.11–79.76 69.80–81.07 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.45 8.02–15.21 | 10.49 7.55–13.44 6.80–14.19 | 22.11 16.33–27.89 14.82–29.40 | 55% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.61 0.49–2.74 0.19–3.04 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.50 1.94–5.05 1.52–5.48 | 6.44 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 34% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.