Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.222.90safe0.71–2.650.36–2.071.08–4.72safer0.46–2.900.14–2.300.60–5.20
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.314.329.64safe3.45–7.182.58–6.076.03–13.24safer2.96–7.662.12–6.535.08–14.20
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5111.6326.14safe10.58–18.438.07–15.1918.65–33.63safer9.49–19.527.11–16.1516.60–35.68
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.897.6017.50safe6.95–12.844.92–10.2811.87–23.12safer6.12–13.674.18–11.0210.31–24.69
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.097.21safe2.24–6.001.43–4.743.67–10.74safer1.69–6.540.94–5.232.64–11.78
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.384.369.74safe3.17–7.592.36–6.365.53–13.95safer2.59–8.171.83–6.894.42–15.06
Possession %
56%
40%
homeawayprediction52.3648.96safe45.57–59.1542.17–55.74safer43.90–60.8240.50–57.41
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5485001048safe481–616433–566915–1182safer463–634416–584879–1218
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction73.5975.28safe69.56–77.6270.96–79.60safer68.27–78.9169.65–80.91
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0413.2723.31safe7.20–12.8810.32–16.2117.52–29.09safer6.45–13.639.57–16.9616.02–30.59
Offsides
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.893.73safe0.67–2.990.80–2.991.47–5.98safer0.37–3.290.51–3.280.88–6.57
Yellow cards
26%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.903.21safe0.26–2.360.77–3.031.03–5.39safer0.00–2.630.48–3.320.48–5.95
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.526.31safe1.35–4.221.96–5.083.31–9.30safer0.96–4.611.54–5.502.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 1.22 0.36–2.07 0.14–2.30 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 48% 24% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.31 3.45–7.18 2.96–7.66 | 4.32 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.53 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.51 10.58–18.43 9.49–19.52 | 11.63 8.07–15.19 7.11–16.15 | 26.14 18.65–33.63 16.60–35.68 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 9.89 6.95–12.84 6.12–13.67 | 7.60 4.92–10.28 4.18–11.02 | 17.50 11.87–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.09 1.43–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.21 3.67–10.74 2.64–11.78 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 5.38 3.17–7.59 2.59–8.17 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 9.74 5.53–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 52.36 45.57–59.15 43.90–60.82 | 48.96 42.17–55.74 40.50–57.41 | — | 56% 40% |
| Passes | 548 481–616 463–634 | 500 433–566 416–584 | 1048 915–1182 879–1218 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.59 69.56–77.62 68.27–78.91 | 75.28 70.96–79.60 69.65–80.91 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 10.04 7.20–12.88 6.45–13.63 | 13.27 10.32–16.21 9.57–16.96 | 23.31 17.52–29.09 16.02–30.59 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.28 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.21 1.03–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 26% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.52 1.96–5.08 1.54–5.50 | 6.31 3.31–9.30 2.50–10.11 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.