Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.152.92safe0.81–2.740.30–2.011.10–4.75safer0.55–2.990.07–2.230.62–5.23
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.369.96safe3.74–7.472.62–6.106.36–13.57safer3.25–7.962.15–6.575.40–14.52
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5710.7326.30safe11.65–19.507.17–14.2918.81–33.79safer10.55–20.596.21–15.2516.76–35.84
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.297.4217.71safe7.35–13.234.74–10.1012.08–23.33safer6.52–14.064.00–10.8410.52–24.90
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.722.686.40safe1.84–5.601.03–4.342.86–9.94safer1.29–6.140.54–4.831.83–10.97
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.454.119.56safe3.24–7.672.11–6.115.35–13.77safer2.67–8.241.57–6.644.24–14.88
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.3444.04safe49.55–63.1337.26–50.83safer47.88–64.8035.59–52.50
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5614441005safe494–629378–511872–1139safer476–647360–528836–1175
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction72.6571.31safe68.62–76.6866.98–75.63safer67.33–77.9865.68–76.94
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5611.4923.04safe8.72–14.408.54–14.4317.26–28.83safer7.97–15.157.79–15.1815.76–30.33
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.443.29safe0.69–3.010.35–2.541.04–5.54safer0.39–3.310.06–2.830.45–6.13
Yellow cards
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.833.44safe0.56–2.660.70–2.961.26–5.62safer0.29–2.920.41–3.250.70–6.17
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
15%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.763.666.42safe1.32–4.192.10–5.223.43–9.41safer0.93–4.581.68–5.642.61–10.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.81–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.23 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.60 3.74–7.47 3.25–7.96 | 4.36 2.62–6.10 2.15–6.57 | 9.96 6.36–13.57 5.40–14.52 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.57 11.65–19.50 10.55–20.59 | 10.73 7.17–14.29 6.21–15.25 | 26.30 18.81–33.79 16.76–35.84 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.29 7.35–13.23 6.52–14.06 | 7.42 4.74–10.10 4.00–10.84 | 17.71 12.08–23.33 10.52–24.90 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.72 1.84–5.60 1.29–6.14 | 2.68 1.03–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 6.40 2.86–9.94 1.83–10.97 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.45 3.24–7.67 2.67–8.24 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.57–6.64 | 9.56 5.35–13.77 4.24–14.88 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.34 49.55–63.13 47.88–64.80 | 44.04 37.26–50.83 35.59–52.50 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 561 494–629 476–647 | 444 378–511 360–528 | 1005 872–1139 836–1175 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.65 68.62–76.68 67.33–77.98 | 71.31 66.98–75.63 65.68–76.94 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 11.56 8.72–14.40 7.97–15.15 | 11.49 8.54–14.43 7.79–15.18 | 23.04 17.26–28.83 15.76–30.33 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 3.29 1.04–5.54 0.45–6.13 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.92 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.17 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 3.66 2.10–5.22 1.68–5.64 | 6.42 3.43–9.41 2.61–10.22 | 29% 15% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.