Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.722.91safe0.22–2.150.87–2.581.09–4.73safer0.00–2.400.64–2.810.61–5.21
Shots on target
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.415.289.69safe2.55–6.283.54–7.026.09–13.30safer2.06–6.773.07–7.495.13–14.25
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0714.6128.69safe10.15–18.0011.05–18.1821.20–36.17safer9.06–19.0910.09–19.1419.15–38.22
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction9.259.6818.93safe6.30–12.197.00–12.3613.31–24.55safer5.48–13.026.26–13.1011.74–26.12
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.407.10safe1.81–5.571.75–5.063.56–10.63safer1.27–6.121.26–5.552.53–11.67
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.345.1010.44safe3.13–7.553.10–7.106.23–14.66safer2.55–8.132.57–7.635.12–15.76
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction39.6359.82safe32.84–46.4253.03–66.60safer31.17–48.0951.36–68.27
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction348537885safe281–415470–603751–1018safer262–433453–621715–1054
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction61.8773.68safe57.84–65.9069.36–78.00safer56.55–67.1968.05–79.31
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3013.4325.73safe9.46–15.1410.49–16.3819.95–31.52safer8.71–15.899.74–17.1318.45–33.02
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.033.91safe0.72–3.040.93–3.121.65–6.16safer0.42–3.340.65–3.411.06–6.75
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.773.25safe0.44–2.540.64–2.891.08–5.43safer0.17–2.800.35–3.190.52–5.99
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.532.946.46safe2.09–4.961.38–4.493.47–9.45safer1.70–5.350.96–4.922.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.72 0.87–2.58 0.64–2.81 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.41 2.55–6.28 2.06–6.77 | 5.28 3.54–7.02 3.07–7.49 | 9.69 6.09–13.30 5.13–14.25 | 33% 55% |
| Total shots | 14.07 10.15–18.00 9.06–19.09 | 14.61 11.05–18.18 10.09–19.14 | 28.69 21.20–36.17 19.15–38.22 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 9.25 6.30–12.19 5.48–13.02 | 9.68 7.00–12.36 6.26–13.10 | 18.93 13.31–24.55 11.74–26.12 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.27–6.12 | 3.40 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.34 3.13–7.55 2.55–8.13 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.57–7.63 | 10.44 6.23–14.66 5.12–15.76 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 39.63 32.84–46.42 31.17–48.09 | 59.82 53.03–66.60 51.36–68.27 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 348 281–415 262–433 | 537 470–603 453–621 | 885 751–1018 715–1054 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.87 57.84–65.90 56.55–67.19 | 73.68 69.36–78.00 68.05–79.31 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.46–15.14 8.71–15.89 | 13.43 10.49–16.38 9.74–17.13 | 25.73 19.95–31.52 18.45–33.02 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.03 0.93–3.12 0.65–3.41 | 3.91 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.17–2.80 | 1.77 0.64–2.89 0.35–3.19 | 3.25 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.53 2.09–4.96 1.70–5.35 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.27 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.