Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
21%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.133.19safe1.09–3.020.28–1.991.37–5.01safer0.84–3.280.05–2.220.89–5.49
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.214.0510.26safe4.35–8.072.31–5.806.66–13.87safer3.86–8.561.84–6.265.70–14.82
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7111.0628.77safe13.78–21.637.50–14.6221.28–36.25safer12.69–22.726.54–15.5819.23–38.31
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction10.926.9817.90safe7.97–13.864.30–9.6612.27–23.52safer7.15–14.693.56–10.4010.71–25.09
Blocked shots
58%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.387.88safe2.61–6.381.73–5.044.34–11.41safer2.07–6.921.24–5.533.31–12.45
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.344.0310.36safe4.12–8.552.03–6.036.15–14.58safer3.55–9.121.49–6.565.04–15.68
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.4949.02safe44.70–58.2842.23–55.80safer43.03–59.9540.56–57.48
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction488463951safe421–555397–530817–1085safer403–573379–547782–1121
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction70.8572.66safe66.82–74.8768.34–76.98safer65.52–76.1767.03–78.29
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8912.1122.99safe8.05–13.729.16–15.0517.21–28.78safer7.29–14.488.42–15.8015.71–30.28
Offsides
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.753.78safe0.86–3.180.66–2.851.52–6.03safer0.56–3.480.37–3.140.93–6.62
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.783.38safe0.56–2.660.65–2.901.21–5.56safer0.29–2.930.36–3.200.65–6.12
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.693.976.66safe1.25–4.122.41–5.533.67–9.65safer0.86–4.511.99–5.952.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.02 0.84–3.28 | 1.13 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 59% 21% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.21 4.35–8.07 3.86–8.56 | 4.05 2.31–5.80 1.84–6.26 | 10.26 6.66–13.87 5.70–14.82 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.71 13.78–21.63 12.69–22.72 | 11.06 7.50–14.62 6.54–15.58 | 28.77 21.28–36.25 19.23–38.31 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.92 7.97–13.86 7.15–14.69 | 6.98 4.30–9.66 3.56–10.40 | 17.90 12.27–23.52 10.71–25.09 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.61–6.38 2.07–6.92 | 3.38 1.73–5.04 1.24–5.53 | 7.88 4.34–11.41 3.31–12.45 | 58% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.12–8.55 3.55–9.12 | 4.03 2.03–6.03 1.49–6.56 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 51.49 44.70–58.28 43.03–59.95 | 49.02 42.23–55.80 40.56–57.48 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 488 421–555 403–573 | 463 397–530 379–547 | 951 817–1085 782–1121 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.85 66.82–74.87 65.52–76.17 | 72.66 68.34–76.98 67.03–78.29 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 10.89 8.05–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 12.11 9.16–15.05 8.42–15.80 | 22.99 17.21–28.78 15.71–30.28 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.48 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.78 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.62 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.61 0.56–2.66 0.29–2.93 | 1.78 0.65–2.90 0.36–3.20 | 3.38 1.21–5.56 0.65–6.12 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 3.97 2.41–5.53 1.99–5.95 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.