Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.102.73safe0.66–2.600.24–1.950.90–4.55safer0.41–2.850.02–2.180.42–5.03
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.113.818.92safe3.25–6.982.06–5.555.31–12.52safer2.76–7.471.60–6.014.36–13.48
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7910.5225.30safe10.86–18.716.96–14.0817.82–32.79safer9.77–19.806.00–15.0415.77–34.84
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.196.7215.91safe6.25–12.134.04–9.4110.29–21.54safer5.42–12.963.31–10.148.72–23.10
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.862.836.68safe1.97–5.741.17–4.483.15–10.22safer1.43–6.280.68–4.972.11–11.25
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.304.129.42safe3.09–7.512.12–6.125.20–13.63safer2.51–8.091.58–6.654.10–14.74
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.5044.12safe49.71–63.2937.33–50.90safer48.04–64.9635.66–52.58
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5774421019safe510–644376–509885–1153safer491–662358–526850–1188
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction76.6173.02safe72.58–80.6468.70–77.35safer71.29–81.9367.39–78.65
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction12.059.2821.32safe9.21–14.886.33–12.2215.54–27.11safer8.45–15.645.59–12.9714.04–28.61
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.413.28safe0.71–3.030.31–2.501.02–5.53safer0.41–3.330.02–2.790.43–6.12
Yellow cards
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.282.61safe0.28–2.380.15–2.410.43–4.79safer0.01–2.650.00–2.700.00–5.35
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.286.15safe1.44–4.311.72–4.833.16–9.15safer1.05–4.701.30–5.262.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.63 0.66–2.60 0.41–2.85 | 1.10 0.24–1.95 0.02–2.18 | 2.73 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 50% 25% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.11 3.25–6.98 2.76–7.47 | 3.81 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.01 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.79 10.86–18.71 9.77–19.80 | 10.52 6.96–14.08 6.00–15.04 | 25.30 17.82–32.79 15.77–34.84 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.25–12.13 5.42–12.96 | 6.72 4.04–9.41 3.31–10.14 | 15.91 10.29–21.54 8.72–23.10 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 2.83 1.17–4.48 0.68–4.97 | 6.68 3.15–10.22 2.11–11.25 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.09–7.51 2.51–8.09 | 4.12 2.12–6.12 1.58–6.65 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.50 49.71–63.29 48.04–64.96 | 44.12 37.33–50.90 35.66–52.58 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 577 510–644 491–662 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 1019 885–1153 850–1188 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.61 72.58–80.64 71.29–81.93 | 73.02 68.70–77.35 67.39–78.65 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 9.28 6.33–12.22 5.59–12.97 | 21.32 15.54–27.11 14.04–28.61 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.41 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.33 0.28–2.38 0.01–2.65 | 1.28 0.15–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 2.61 0.43–4.79 0.00–5.35 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.28 1.72–4.83 1.30–5.26 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+