Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.212.67safe0.49–2.430.35–2.060.85–4.49safer0.24–2.680.13–2.290.37–4.97
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.818.48safe2.81–6.532.06–5.554.87–12.08safer2.32–7.021.60–6.023.92–13.04
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3011.2225.52safe10.37–18.227.66–14.7918.04–33.01safer9.28–19.316.70–15.7515.98–35.06
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.267.1116.36safe6.31–12.204.43–9.7910.74–21.99safer5.48–13.033.69–10.529.17–23.55
Blocked shots
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.622.836.45safe1.74–5.501.18–4.492.92–9.99safer1.19–6.050.69–4.981.88–11.02
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.474.7910.26safe3.26–7.682.79–6.796.05–14.48safer2.68–8.262.26–7.334.94–15.58
Possession %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction51.0847.88safe44.29–57.8741.09–54.66safer42.62–59.5439.42–56.34
Passes
59%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction425398823safe357–492332–465689–957safer339–510314–482654–992
Pass accuracy %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction66.9968.20safe62.96–71.0263.87–72.52safer61.67–72.3262.56–73.83
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8413.8125.65safe9.00–14.6810.87–16.7619.87–31.43safer8.24–15.4310.12–17.5018.36–32.94
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.783.65safe0.70–3.020.69–2.881.39–5.90safer0.40–3.330.40–3.160.80–6.49
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.793.34safe0.50–2.600.67–2.921.17–5.52safer0.23–2.860.37–3.210.61–6.08
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.135.61safe1.04–3.911.57–4.682.61–8.60safer0.65–4.301.15–5.111.80–9.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.13–2.29 | 2.67 0.85–4.49 0.37–4.97 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.81–6.53 2.32–7.02 | 3.81 2.06–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.37–18.22 9.28–19.31 | 11.22 7.66–14.79 6.70–15.75 | 25.52 18.04–33.01 15.98–35.06 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.31–12.20 5.48–13.03 | 7.11 4.43–9.79 3.69–10.52 | 16.36 10.74–21.99 9.17–23.55 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.19–6.05 | 2.83 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 54% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.47 3.26–7.68 2.68–8.26 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 10.26 6.05–14.48 4.94–15.58 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.08 44.29–57.87 42.62–59.54 | 47.88 41.09–54.66 39.42–56.34 | — | 55% 40% |
| Passes | 425 357–492 339–510 | 398 332–465 314–482 | 823 689–957 654–992 | 59% 41% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.99 62.96–71.02 61.67–72.32 | 68.20 63.87–72.52 62.56–73.83 | — | 41% 54% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.00–14.68 8.24–15.43 | 13.81 10.87–16.76 10.12–17.50 | 25.65 19.87–31.43 18.36–32.94 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.33 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.16 | 3.65 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.49 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 1.79 0.67–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.34 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 5.61 2.61–8.60 1.80–9.41 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.