Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.372.89safe0.54–2.480.52–2.231.06–4.71safer0.29–2.730.29–2.460.58–5.19
Shots on target
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.6310.04safe3.55–7.282.89–6.376.44–13.65safer3.06–7.762.42–6.845.48–14.60
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2812.1327.41safe11.35–19.208.57–15.6919.92–34.89safer10.26–20.297.61–16.6517.87–36.95
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.228.1617.38safe6.28–12.165.48–10.8411.76–23.00safer5.45–12.994.74–11.5810.19–24.57
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.637.71safe2.19–5.961.98–5.294.17–11.25safer1.65–6.501.49–5.783.14–12.28
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.644.5010.14safe3.43–7.862.50–6.505.92–14.35safer2.85–8.431.96–7.034.82–15.46
Possession %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction47.5852.07safe40.79–54.3745.29–58.86safer39.12–56.0443.62–60.53
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4985191017safe431–565453–586883–1151safer412–583435–603848–1186
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction70.7275.56safe66.69–74.7571.23–79.88safer65.40–76.0469.92–81.19
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6311.9722.61safe7.80–13.479.03–14.9216.82–28.39safer7.04–14.238.28–15.6715.32–29.89
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.943.64safe0.53–2.850.85–3.041.38–5.89safer0.23–3.160.56–3.320.79–6.48
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.683.20safe0.47–2.570.55–2.811.02–5.38safer0.20–2.830.26–3.100.46–5.93
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
35%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.486.48safe1.56–4.441.93–5.043.49–9.48safer1.18–4.821.50–5.462.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.37 0.52–2.23 0.29–2.46 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 41% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.28 3.06–7.76 | 4.63 2.89–6.37 2.42–6.84 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 53% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.35–19.20 10.26–20.29 | 12.13 8.57–15.69 7.61–16.65 | 27.41 19.92–34.89 17.87–36.95 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.16 5.45–12.99 | 8.16 5.48–10.84 4.74–11.58 | 17.38 11.76–23.00 10.19–24.57 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.19–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 3.63 1.98–5.29 1.49–5.78 | 7.71 4.17–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.43–7.86 2.85–8.43 | 4.50 2.50–6.50 1.96–7.03 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 47.58 40.79–54.37 39.12–56.04 | 52.07 45.29–58.86 43.62–60.53 | — | 37% 58% |
| Passes | 498 431–565 412–583 | 519 453–586 435–603 | 1017 883–1151 848–1186 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.72 66.69–74.75 65.40–76.04 | 75.56 71.23–79.88 69.92–81.19 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.80–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 11.97 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.67 | 22.61 16.82–28.39 15.32–29.89 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.16 | 1.94 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.32 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.20–2.83 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.46–5.93 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.56–4.44 1.18–4.82 | 3.48 1.93–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.48 3.49–9.48 2.68–10.29 | 35% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+