Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.292.83safe0.58–2.510.43–2.141.01–4.65safer0.32–2.760.20–2.370.53–5.13
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.088.96safe3.01–6.742.34–5.835.35–12.56safer2.52–7.231.88–6.294.40–13.52
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6611.5426.20safe10.74–18.587.98–15.1018.71–33.69safer9.64–19.687.02–16.0616.66–35.74
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.757.3717.12safe6.81–12.694.69–10.0511.50–22.75safer5.98–13.523.95–10.799.93–24.31
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.143.287.42safe2.25–6.021.63–4.943.88–10.96safer1.71–6.561.14–5.432.85–11.99
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.484.289.76safe3.27–7.702.28–6.285.55–13.98safer2.70–8.271.75–6.814.44–15.08
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.5347.58safe45.73–59.3240.80–54.37safer44.07–60.9939.12–56.04
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5464591005safe479–613392–525871–1138safer461–631375–543835–1174
Pass accuracy %
45%
50%
homeawayprediction72.3672.77safe68.33–76.3968.45–77.10safer67.04–77.6867.14–78.41
Fouls
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7410.1224.86safe11.90–17.577.18–13.0719.08–30.64safer11.14–18.336.43–13.8217.57–32.15
Offsides
43%
23%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.563.33safe0.60–2.930.47–2.651.07–5.58safer0.30–3.230.18–2.940.48–6.17
Yellow cards
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.312.83safe0.48–2.570.18–2.440.65–5.01safer0.21–2.840.00–2.730.10–5.57
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.166.10safe1.51–4.381.60–4.713.11–9.09safer1.12–4.771.17–5.142.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.58–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.83 1.01–4.65 0.53–5.13 | 43% 25% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 4.08 2.34–5.83 1.88–6.29 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.74–18.58 9.64–19.68 | 11.54 7.98–15.10 7.02–16.06 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 7.37 4.69–10.05 3.95–10.79 | 17.12 11.50–22.75 9.93–24.31 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.25–6.02 1.71–6.56 | 3.28 1.63–4.94 1.14–5.43 | 7.42 3.88–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.48 3.27–7.70 2.70–8.27 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.75–6.81 | 9.76 5.55–13.98 4.44–15.08 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.53 45.73–59.32 44.07–60.99 | 47.58 40.80–54.37 39.12–56.04 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 546 479–613 461–631 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 1005 871–1138 835–1174 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.36 68.33–76.39 67.04–77.68 | 72.77 68.45–77.10 67.14–78.41 | — | 45% 50% |
| Fouls | 14.74 11.90–17.57 11.14–18.33 | 10.12 7.18–13.07 6.43–13.82 | 24.86 19.08–30.64 17.57–32.15 | 80% 15% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.60–2.93 0.30–3.23 | 1.56 0.47–2.65 0.18–2.94 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.48–6.17 | 43% 23% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.48–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 1.31 0.18–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.83 0.65–5.01 0.10–5.57 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 3.16 1.60–4.71 1.17–5.14 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 38% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.