Premiership·Regular Season - 8·
Premiership·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.052.42safe0.40–2.340.20–1.900.60–4.25safer0.15–2.590.00–2.130.12–4.73
Shots on target
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.313.818.12safe2.45–6.172.07–5.554.51–11.72safer1.96–6.661.60–6.023.56–12.68
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2811.5123.78safe8.35–16.207.95–15.0716.30–31.27safer7.26–17.296.99–16.0314.25–33.32
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction8.286.7315.01safe5.34–11.234.04–9.419.39–20.63safer4.51–12.063.31–10.147.82–22.20
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.896.53safe1.76–5.521.24–4.542.99–10.06safer1.21–6.060.75–5.041.96–11.10
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.429.91safe3.28–7.702.42–6.425.70–14.13safer2.70–8.281.89–6.964.59–15.23
Possession %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction46.4653.93safe39.67–53.2547.14–60.71safer38.00–54.9245.47–62.38
Passes
30%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction425486912safe358–493420–553778–1046safer340–511403–570743–1081
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction65.7070.99safe61.67–69.7366.67–75.31safer60.38–71.0265.36–76.62
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8311.9324.76safe9.99–15.678.99–14.8818.98–30.54safer9.24–16.428.24–15.6217.47–32.05
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.313.08safe0.60–2.920.22–2.410.82–5.33safer0.30–3.220.00–2.700.23–5.92
Yellow cards
34%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.103.89safe0.74–2.840.97–3.221.71–6.06safer0.48–3.110.68–3.521.15–6.62
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.885.54safe1.22–4.101.33–4.442.55–8.54safer0.84–4.480.90–4.861.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.05 0.20–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.17 1.96–6.66 | 3.81 2.07–5.55 1.60–6.02 | 8.12 4.51–11.72 3.56–12.68 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 12.28 8.35–16.20 7.26–17.29 | 11.51 7.95–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 23.78 16.30–31.27 14.25–33.32 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.34–11.23 4.51–12.06 | 6.73 4.04–9.41 3.31–10.14 | 15.01 9.39–20.63 7.82–22.20 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.76–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 2.89 1.24–4.54 0.75–5.04 | 6.53 2.99–10.06 1.96–11.10 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.70 2.70–8.28 | 4.42 2.42–6.42 1.89–6.96 | 9.91 5.70–14.13 4.59–15.23 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 46.46 39.67–53.25 38.00–54.92 | 53.93 47.14–60.71 45.47–62.38 | — | 31% 65% |
| Passes | 425 358–493 340–511 | 486 420–553 403–570 | 912 778–1046 743–1081 | 30% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.70 61.67–69.73 60.38–71.02 | 70.99 66.67–75.31 65.36–76.62 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.24–16.42 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.62 | 24.76 18.98–30.54 17.47–32.05 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.10 0.97–3.22 0.68–3.52 | 3.89 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 34% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.66 1.22–4.10 0.84–4.48 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.54 2.55–8.54 1.74–9.35 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.