Premiership·Regular Season - 20·
Premiership·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.152.40safe0.28–2.220.29–2.000.57–4.22safer0.03–2.470.07–2.230.09–4.70
Shots on target
57%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.373.407.77safe2.51–6.231.66–5.144.17–11.38safer2.02–6.721.19–5.613.21–12.33
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6510.9424.59safe9.72–17.577.38–14.5017.10–32.08safer8.63–18.666.42–15.4615.05–34.13
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction7.837.2115.04safe4.89–10.774.53–9.899.42–20.66safer4.06–11.603.79–10.637.85–22.23
Blocked shots
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.693.357.03safe1.81–5.571.69–5.003.50–10.57safer1.26–6.111.20–5.492.46–11.60
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.024.679.69safe2.81–7.232.67–6.675.47–13.90safer2.23–7.812.13–7.204.37–15.01
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction54.7746.73safe47.98–61.5639.95–53.52safer46.31–63.2338.28–55.19
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction514393907safe447–581326–459773–1040safer428–599309–477737–1076
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.1668.26safe63.13–71.1863.94–72.59safer61.83–72.4862.63–73.90
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2113.5524.77safe8.38–14.0510.61–16.5018.99–30.55safer7.62–14.819.86–17.2517.48–32.05
Offsides
35%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.643.12safe0.32–2.640.54–2.730.86–5.37safer0.02–2.940.25–3.020.27–5.96
Yellow cards
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.983.71safe0.68–2.780.85–3.111.54–5.89safer0.42–3.050.56–3.400.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
29%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.313.105.41safe0.88–3.751.54–4.652.42–8.41safer0.49–4.141.12–5.081.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.40 0.57–4.22 0.09–4.70 | 39% 28% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 3.40 1.66–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 7.77 4.17–11.38 3.21–12.33 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 13.65 9.72–17.57 8.63–18.66 | 10.94 7.38–14.50 6.42–15.46 | 24.59 17.10–32.08 15.05–34.13 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 7.83 4.89–10.77 4.06–11.60 | 7.21 4.53–9.89 3.79–10.63 | 15.04 9.42–20.66 7.85–22.23 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.69 1.81–5.57 1.26–6.11 | 3.35 1.69–5.00 1.20–5.49 | 7.03 3.50–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 47% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.02 2.81–7.23 2.23–7.81 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.13–7.20 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 54.77 47.98–61.56 46.31–63.23 | 46.73 39.95–53.52 38.28–55.19 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 514 447–581 428–599 | 393 326–459 309–477 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.16 63.13–71.18 61.83–72.48 | 68.26 63.94–72.59 62.63–73.90 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.38–14.05 7.62–14.81 | 13.55 10.61–16.50 9.86–17.25 | 24.77 18.99–30.55 17.48–32.05 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.02 | 3.12 0.86–5.37 0.27–5.96 | 35% 24% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.98 0.85–3.11 0.56–3.40 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.31 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 3.10 1.54–4.65 1.12–5.08 | 5.41 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 29% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.