Premiership·Regular Season - 8·
Premiership·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.282.76safe0.51–2.450.43–2.130.94–4.58safer0.26–2.700.20–2.360.46–5.06
Shots on target
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.839.82safe3.13–6.863.09–6.576.22–13.43safer2.64–7.352.62–7.045.26–14.38
Total shots
49%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1613.8027.96safe10.24–18.0910.24–17.3620.47–35.45safer9.14–19.189.28–18.3218.42–37.50
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.908.7817.68safe5.95–11.846.10–11.4612.06–23.30safer5.13–12.675.37–12.2010.49–24.87
Blocked shots
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.543.456.99safe1.66–5.431.80–5.103.46–10.53safer1.12–5.971.31–5.602.42–11.57
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.625.3610.98safe3.41–7.843.36–7.366.77–15.19safer2.84–8.412.82–7.895.66–16.30
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.5651.13safe42.77–56.3544.34–57.91safer41.10–58.0242.67–59.58
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction442441883safe374–509375–508749–1016safer356–527357–525713–1052
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction70.0671.21safe66.03–74.0966.89–75.54safer64.74–75.3865.58–76.85
Fouls
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7012.6523.35safe7.86–13.549.70–15.5917.57–29.13safer7.11–14.298.96–16.3416.06–30.63
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.061.653.71safe0.90–3.220.56–2.741.46–5.97safer0.60–3.520.27–3.030.87–6.55
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.174.03safe0.81–2.911.04–3.301.85–6.20safer0.54–3.170.75–3.591.29–6.76
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.033.376.39safe1.59–4.461.81–4.923.40–9.39safer1.20–4.851.39–5.352.59–10.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.28 0.43–2.13 0.20–2.36 | 2.76 0.94–4.58 0.46–5.06 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.99 3.13–6.86 2.64–7.35 | 4.83 3.09–6.57 2.62–7.04 | 9.82 6.22–13.43 5.26–14.38 | 46% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.16 10.24–18.09 9.14–19.18 | 13.80 10.24–17.36 9.28–18.32 | 27.96 20.47–35.45 18.42–37.50 | 49% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.90 5.95–11.84 5.13–12.67 | 8.78 6.10–11.46 5.37–12.20 | 17.68 12.06–23.30 10.49–24.87 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 3.45 1.80–5.10 1.31–5.60 | 6.99 3.46–10.53 2.42–11.57 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Corners | 5.62 3.41–7.84 2.84–8.41 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.82–7.89 | 10.98 6.77–15.19 5.66–16.30 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 49.56 42.77–56.35 41.10–58.02 | 51.13 44.34–57.91 42.67–59.58 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 442 374–509 356–527 | 441 375–508 357–525 | 883 749–1016 713–1052 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.06 66.03–74.09 64.74–75.38 | 71.21 66.89–75.54 65.58–76.85 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.54 7.11–14.29 | 12.65 9.70–15.59 8.96–16.34 | 23.35 17.57–29.13 16.06–30.63 | 31% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.06 0.90–3.22 0.60–3.52 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.71 1.46–5.97 0.87–6.55 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 4.03 1.85–6.20 1.29–6.76 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.03 1.59–4.46 1.20–4.85 | 3.37 1.81–4.92 1.39–5.35 | 6.39 3.40–9.39 2.59–10.20 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.