Premiership·Regular Season - 14·
Premiership·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.232.84safe0.65–2.580.38–2.091.02–4.67safer0.39–2.830.15–2.310.54–5.15
Shots on target
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.099.20safe3.24–6.972.35–5.835.59–12.80safer2.75–7.461.88–6.304.63–13.76
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6012.3327.93safe11.67–19.528.76–15.8920.44–35.41safer10.58–20.617.81–16.8518.39–37.46
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.768.0817.83safe6.81–12.705.40–10.7612.21–23.46safer5.98–13.534.66–11.5010.64–25.03
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.733.598.32safe2.85–6.611.94–5.244.78–11.85safer2.30–7.161.44–5.733.75–12.89
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction6.164.5710.73safe3.94–8.372.57–6.576.51–14.94safer3.37–8.942.04–7.105.41–16.05
Possession %
53%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4849.29safe44.69–58.2742.51–56.08safer43.02–59.9440.84–57.75
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction464430893safe396–531363–496760–1027safer378–549346–514724–1063
Pass accuracy %
31%
65%
homeawayprediction67.4970.89safe63.46–71.5266.56–75.21safer62.17–72.8165.25–76.52
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9512.3424.29safe9.11–14.799.39–15.2818.51–30.07safer8.36–15.558.65–16.0317.00–31.58
Offsides
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.993.58safe0.44–2.760.89–3.081.33–5.84safer0.14–3.060.61–3.370.74–6.43
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.783.46safe0.62–2.720.65–2.911.28–5.63safer0.36–2.990.36–3.200.72–6.19
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.275.97safe1.26–4.131.71–4.832.97–8.96safer0.87–4.521.29–5.252.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.31 | 2.84 1.02–4.67 0.54–5.15 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.10 3.24–6.97 2.75–7.46 | 4.09 2.35–5.83 1.88–6.30 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.76 | 57% 31% |
| Total shots | 15.60 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 12.33 8.76–15.89 7.81–16.85 | 27.93 20.44–35.41 18.39–37.46 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.76 6.81–12.70 5.98–13.53 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 17.83 12.21–23.46 10.64–25.03 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.30–7.16 | 3.59 1.94–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 8.32 4.78–11.85 3.75–12.89 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 6.16 3.94–8.37 3.37–8.94 | 4.57 2.57–6.57 2.04–7.10 | 10.73 6.51–14.94 5.41–16.05 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 51.48 44.69–58.27 43.02–59.94 | 49.29 42.51–56.08 40.84–57.75 | — | 53% 43% |
| Passes | 464 396–531 378–549 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.49 63.46–71.52 62.17–72.81 | 70.89 66.56–75.21 65.25–76.52 | — | 31% 65% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.79 8.36–15.55 | 12.34 9.39–15.28 8.65–16.03 | 24.29 18.51–30.07 17.00–31.58 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.99 0.89–3.08 0.61–3.37 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.46 1.28–5.63 0.72–6.19 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.27 1.71–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 5.97 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+