Premiership·Regular Season - 8·
Premiership·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.410.923.33safe1.44–3.380.06–1.771.50–5.15safer1.19–3.630.00–2.001.02–5.63
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.043.2910.33safe5.17–8.901.55–5.036.72–13.93safer4.69–9.391.08–5.505.76–14.89
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction18.279.9828.25safe14.34–22.196.42–13.5520.76–35.74safer13.25–23.285.46–14.5018.71–37.79
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.576.4218.99safe9.63–15.513.74–9.1013.37–24.62safer8.80–16.343.00–9.8411.80–26.18
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.782.657.42safe2.89–6.660.99–4.303.89–10.96safer2.35–7.200.50–4.792.85–11.99
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.744.0210.76safe4.53–8.962.02–6.026.55–14.97safer3.96–9.531.48–6.555.44–16.08
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction54.9745.14safe48.18–61.7638.35–51.92safer46.51–63.4336.68–53.59
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction520418938safe453–587351–484804–1072safer435–605334–502769–1107
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction73.1570.40safe69.12–77.1866.08–74.73safer67.83–78.4764.77–76.04
Fouls
42%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3711.8123.18safe8.54–14.218.86–14.7517.40–28.96safer7.78–14.978.12–15.5015.90–30.47
Offsides
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.163.03safe0.71–3.030.06–2.250.78–5.28safer0.41–3.340.00–2.540.19–5.87
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.323.68safe0.31–2.411.20–3.451.51–5.86safer0.04–2.670.90–3.740.95–6.42
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.80
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.626.97safe0.92–3.793.06–6.173.98–9.97safer0.53–4.182.64–6.603.17–10.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.41 1.44–3.38 1.19–3.63 | 0.92 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 3.33 1.50–5.15 1.02–5.63 | 70% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.04 5.17–8.90 4.69–9.39 | 3.29 1.55–5.03 1.08–5.50 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.76–14.89 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.27 14.34–22.19 13.25–23.28 | 9.98 6.42–13.55 5.46–14.50 | 28.25 20.76–35.74 18.71–37.79 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.57 9.63–15.51 8.80–16.34 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.00–9.84 | 18.99 13.37–24.62 11.80–26.18 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.78 2.89–6.66 2.35–7.20 | 2.65 0.99–4.30 0.50–4.79 | 7.42 3.89–10.96 2.85–11.99 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.74 4.53–8.96 3.96–9.53 | 4.02 2.02–6.02 1.48–6.55 | 10.76 6.55–14.97 5.44–16.08 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 54.97 48.18–61.76 46.51–63.43 | 45.14 38.35–51.92 36.68–53.59 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 520 453–587 435–605 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.15 69.12–77.18 67.83–78.47 | 70.40 66.08–74.73 64.77–76.04 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 11.37 8.54–14.21 7.78–14.97 | 11.81 8.86–14.75 8.12–15.50 | 23.18 17.40–28.96 15.90–30.47 | 42% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.34 | 1.16 0.06–2.25 0.00–2.54 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.32 1.20–3.45 0.90–3.74 | 3.68 1.51–5.86 0.95–6.42 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 4.62 3.06–6.17 2.64–6.60 | 6.97 3.98–9.97 3.17–10.78 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.