Premiership·Regular Season - 17·
Premiership·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.052.063.11safe0.08–2.021.21–2.921.29–4.93safer0.00–2.270.98–3.150.81–5.41
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.575.449.00safe1.70–5.433.69–7.185.40–12.61safer1.21–5.923.23–7.644.44–13.56
Total shots
22%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6015.0926.69safe7.68–15.5311.53–18.6519.20–34.18safer6.59–16.6210.57–19.6117.15–36.23
Shots in box
20%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction7.2010.2217.42safe4.25–10.147.54–12.9011.79–23.04safer3.43–10.976.80–13.6410.23–24.61
Blocked shots
33%
14%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction3.814.558.36safe1.93–5.692.89–6.204.82–11.89safer1.38–6.232.40–6.693.78–12.93
Corners
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.569.90safe2.13–6.553.56–7.565.69–14.12safer1.55–7.133.03–8.104.58–15.22
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.8554.03safe40.06–53.6447.24–60.81safer38.39–55.3145.57–62.48
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction412487899safe345–480420–553766–1033safer327–498403–571730–1069
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction63.4273.27safe59.39–67.4568.95–77.60safer58.10–68.7467.64–78.91
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0812.1824.26safe9.24–14.919.23–15.1218.47–30.04safer8.48–15.678.49–15.8716.97–31.54
Offsides
26%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.943.27safe0.17–2.490.85–3.031.02–5.53safer0.00–2.790.56–3.320.43–6.12
Yellow cards
47%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.683.77safe1.04–3.140.55–2.811.59–5.95safer0.77–3.400.26–3.101.03–6.51
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.080.22safe0.00–0.290.00–0.270.00–0.56safer0.00–0.440.00–0.400.00–0.85
GK saves
62%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.782.476.25safe2.34–5.210.92–4.033.26–9.24safer1.95–5.600.49–4.452.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 2.06 1.21–2.92 0.98–3.15 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.57 1.70–5.43 1.21–5.92 | 5.44 3.69–7.18 3.23–7.64 | 9.00 5.40–12.61 4.44–13.56 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.60 7.68–15.53 6.59–16.62 | 15.09 11.53–18.65 10.57–19.61 | 26.69 19.20–34.18 17.15–36.23 | 22% 72% |
| Shots in box | 7.20 4.25–10.14 3.43–10.97 | 10.22 7.54–12.90 6.80–13.64 | 17.42 11.79–23.04 10.23–24.61 | 20% 73% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.38–6.23 | 4.55 2.89–6.20 2.40–6.69 | 8.36 4.82–11.89 3.78–12.93 | 33% 14% 53% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.13–6.55 1.55–7.13 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.03–8.10 | 9.90 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.22 | 29% 59% |
| Possession % | 46.85 40.06–53.64 38.39–55.31 | 54.03 47.24–60.81 45.57–62.48 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 412 345–480 327–498 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.42 59.39–67.45 58.10–68.74 | 73.27 68.95–77.60 67.64–78.91 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.08 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 12.18 9.23–15.12 8.49–15.87 | 24.26 18.47–30.04 16.97–31.54 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 1.94 0.85–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 26% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.09 1.04–3.14 0.77–3.40 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 47% 21% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.78 2.34–5.21 1.95–5.60 | 2.47 0.92–4.03 0.49–4.45 | 6.25 3.26–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 62% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.