Premiership·Regular Season - 8·
Premiership·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.843.11safe0.30–2.230.99–2.701.29–4.93safer0.05–2.490.76–2.920.81–5.41
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.705.7710.47safe2.84–6.564.03–7.526.87–14.08safer2.35–7.053.57–7.985.91–15.03
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5816.2730.84safe10.65–18.5012.70–19.8323.36–38.33safer9.56–19.5911.74–20.7921.30–40.38
Shots in box
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0010.9419.94safe6.06–11.948.26–13.6314.32–25.57safer5.23–12.777.53–14.3612.75–27.13
Blocked shots
39%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.638.95safe2.43–6.202.98–6.285.41–12.48safer1.89–6.742.49–6.784.38–13.52
Corners
34%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction5.095.9111.00safe2.88–7.303.91–7.916.79–15.21safer2.30–7.883.38–8.445.68–16.32
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction49.2651.67safe42.47–56.0544.89–58.46safer40.80–57.7243.22–60.13
Passes
52%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5165081024safe449–583442–575891–1158safer430–601424–592855–1194
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction72.6877.73safe68.65–76.7173.41–82.06safer67.36–78.0072.10–83.37
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7911.4222.21safe7.95–13.628.47–14.3616.42–27.99safer7.19–14.387.73–15.1114.92–29.49
Offsides
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.783.31safe0.37–2.690.69–2.871.06–5.57safer0.07–2.990.40–3.160.47–6.16
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.833.62safe0.75–2.850.70–2.961.45–5.80safer0.48–3.110.41–3.250.89–6.36
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.056.55safe2.06–4.931.50–4.613.55–9.54safer1.67–5.321.07–5.032.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.49 | 1.84 0.99–2.70 0.76–2.92 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.70 2.84–6.56 2.35–7.05 | 5.77 4.03–7.52 3.57–7.98 | 10.47 6.87–14.08 5.91–15.03 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 14.58 10.65–18.50 9.56–19.59 | 16.27 12.70–19.83 11.74–20.79 | 30.84 23.36–38.33 21.30–40.38 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 9.00 6.06–11.94 5.23–12.77 | 10.94 8.26–13.63 7.53–14.36 | 19.94 14.32–25.57 12.75–27.13 | 29% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 4.32 2.43–6.20 1.89–6.74 | 4.63 2.98–6.28 2.49–6.78 | 8.95 5.41–12.48 4.38–13.52 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.30 2.30–7.88 | 5.91 3.91–7.91 3.38–8.44 | 11.00 6.79–15.21 5.68–16.32 | 34% 54% |
| Possession % | 49.26 42.47–56.05 40.80–57.72 | 51.67 44.89–58.46 43.22–60.13 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 516 449–583 430–601 | 508 442–575 424–592 | 1024 891–1158 855–1194 | 52% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.68 68.65–76.71 67.36–78.00 | 77.73 73.41–82.06 72.10–83.37 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.62 7.19–14.38 | 11.42 8.47–14.36 7.73–15.11 | 22.21 16.42–27.99 14.92–29.49 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.53 0.37–2.69 0.07–2.99 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.31 1.06–5.57 0.47–6.16 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.62 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.49 2.06–4.93 1.67–5.32 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 6.55 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.