Premiership·Regular Season - 20·
Premiership·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.183.45safe1.31–3.240.32–2.031.63–5.28safer1.05–3.490.10–2.261.15–5.75
Shots on target
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.374.2710.65safe4.51–8.242.53–6.027.04–14.25safer4.02–8.732.06–6.486.09–15.21
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3511.2028.55safe13.42–21.277.64–14.7621.06–36.03safer12.33–22.366.68–15.7219.01–38.08
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.887.0818.96safe8.94–14.824.40–9.7613.34–24.59safer8.11–15.653.66–10.5011.77–26.15
Blocked shots
62%
13%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.227.80safe2.70–6.461.56–4.874.26–11.33safer2.15–7.001.07–5.363.23–12.37
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.834.1310.96safe4.61–9.042.13–6.136.74–15.17safer4.04–9.611.60–6.665.64–16.28
Possession %
58%
38%
homeawayprediction52.2147.94safe45.42–59.0041.15–54.72safer43.75–60.6739.48–56.39
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5474911038safe480–615424–557904–1172safer462–633407–575869–1208
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction75.5775.70safe71.55–79.6071.38–80.03safer70.25–80.9070.07–81.34
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9311.0121.95safe8.10–13.778.07–13.9616.16–27.73safer7.34–14.537.32–14.7114.66–29.23
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.313.19safe0.71–3.030.22–2.410.93–5.44safer0.41–3.330.00–2.700.34–6.03
Yellow cards
29%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.763.11safe0.30–2.400.63–2.890.93–5.29safer0.03–2.660.34–3.180.37–5.85
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
13%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.884.287.15safe1.44–4.312.72–5.844.16–10.15safer1.05–4.702.30–6.263.35–10.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.27 1.31–3.24 1.05–3.49 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.75 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.37 4.51–8.24 4.02–8.73 | 4.27 2.53–6.02 2.06–6.48 | 10.65 7.04–14.25 6.09–15.21 | 69% 21% |
| Total shots | 17.35 13.42–21.27 12.33–22.36 | 11.20 7.64–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 28.55 21.06–36.03 19.01–38.08 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 11.88 8.94–14.82 8.11–15.65 | 7.08 4.40–9.76 3.66–10.50 | 18.96 13.34–24.59 11.77–26.15 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.22 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 7.80 4.26–11.33 3.23–12.37 | 62% 13% 25% |
| Corners | 6.83 4.61–9.04 4.04–9.61 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.96 6.74–15.17 5.64–16.28 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 52.21 45.42–59.00 43.75–60.67 | 47.94 41.15–54.72 39.48–56.39 | — | 58% 38% |
| Passes | 547 480–615 462–633 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 1038 904–1172 869–1208 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.57 71.55–79.60 70.25–80.90 | 75.70 71.38–80.03 70.07–81.34 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.93 8.10–13.77 7.34–14.53 | 11.01 8.07–13.96 7.32–14.71 | 21.95 16.16–27.73 14.66–29.23 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.31 0.22–2.41 0.00–2.70 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.03–2.66 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.11 0.93–5.29 0.37–5.85 | 29% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 4.28 2.72–5.84 2.30–6.26 | 7.15 4.16–10.15 3.35–10.96 | 24% 13% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.