Premiership·Regular Season - 8·
Premiership·Regular Season - 8·Predicted match statistics
Goals
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.732.75safe1.05–2.980.00–1.590.92–4.57safer0.79–3.230.00–1.820.44–5.05
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.762.479.23safe4.90–8.620.73–4.215.62–12.83safer4.41–9.110.26–4.684.67–13.79
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction19.447.2526.69safe15.51–23.363.69–10.8119.20–34.17safer14.42–24.452.73–11.7717.15–36.22
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.815.1717.99safe9.87–15.762.49–7.8612.36–23.61safer9.04–16.591.76–8.5910.80–25.18
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.422.027.43safe3.53–7.300.36–3.673.90–10.97safer2.99–7.840.00–4.162.86–12.00
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction7.653.6011.25safe5.43–9.861.60–5.607.04–15.46safer4.86–10.431.07–6.145.93–16.57
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction59.0540.98safe52.26–65.8434.19–47.76safer50.59–67.5132.52–49.44
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction509338847safe442–576271–404713–980safer423–594254–422677–1016
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction69.7964.82safe65.76–73.8260.50–69.15safer64.47–75.1259.19–70.46
Fouls
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8114.0526.87safe9.98–15.6511.11–17.0021.08–32.65safer9.22–16.4110.36–17.7519.58–34.15
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.523.37safe0.69–3.010.43–2.611.11–5.62safer0.39–3.310.14–2.900.52–6.21
Yellow cards
19%
17%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.644.07safe0.38–2.481.51–3.771.89–6.25safer0.11–2.741.22–4.061.33–6.80
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.994.476.46safe0.56–3.432.91–6.033.47–9.46safer0.17–3.822.49–6.452.66–10.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.05–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.73 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.75 0.92–4.57 0.44–5.05 | 67% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.76 4.90–8.62 4.41–9.11 | 2.47 0.73–4.21 0.26–4.68 | 9.23 5.62–12.83 4.67–13.79 | 90% |
| Total shots | 19.44 15.51–23.36 14.42–24.45 | 7.25 3.69–10.81 2.73–11.77 | 26.69 19.20–34.17 17.15–36.22 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.81 9.87–15.76 9.04–16.59 | 5.17 2.49–7.86 1.76–8.59 | 17.99 12.36–23.61 10.80–25.18 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.53–7.30 2.99–7.84 | 2.02 0.36–3.67 0.00–4.16 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.00 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.65 5.43–9.86 4.86–10.43 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 11.25 7.04–15.46 5.93–16.57 | 86% |
| Possession % | 59.05 52.26–65.84 50.59–67.51 | 40.98 34.19–47.76 32.52–49.44 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 423–594 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 847 713–980 677–1016 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.79 65.76–73.82 64.47–75.12 | 64.82 60.50–69.15 59.19–70.46 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.98–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 14.05 11.11–17.00 10.36–17.75 | 26.87 21.08–32.65 19.58–34.15 | 37% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.37 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 2.64 1.51–3.77 1.22–4.06 | 4.07 1.89–6.25 1.33–6.80 | 19% 17% 63% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 1.99 0.56–3.43 0.17–3.82 | 4.47 2.91–6.03 2.49–6.45 | 6.46 3.47–9.46 2.66–10.27 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.