Premiership·Regular Season - 20·
Premiership·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.732.68safe0.00–1.920.88–2.590.86–4.50safer0.00–2.170.65–2.820.38–4.98
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.415.568.97safe1.55–5.273.82–7.305.36–12.57safer1.06–5.763.35–7.774.41–13.53
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3516.7227.08safe6.43–14.2813.16–20.2819.59–34.56safer5.34–15.3712.20–21.2417.54–36.62
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5811.1417.72safe3.64–9.528.46–13.8212.10–23.35safer2.81–10.357.72–14.5610.53–24.91
Blocked shots
18%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.734.717.45safe0.85–4.623.06–6.373.91–10.98safer0.31–5.162.57–6.862.88–12.02
Corners
27%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.556.0210.57safe2.33–6.764.02–8.026.35–14.78safer1.76–7.333.49–8.555.25–15.89
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction43.2957.72safe36.50–50.0850.94–64.51safer34.83–51.7549.27–66.18
Passes
19%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction367471838safe300–434404–537704–971safer282–453387–555668–1007
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction61.6371.68safe57.60–65.6667.36–76.01safer56.31–66.9566.05–77.32
Fouls
45%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7013.9227.61safe10.86–16.5310.97–16.8621.83–33.40safer10.10–17.2910.22–17.6120.33–34.90
Offsides
37%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.913.73safe0.66–2.980.82–3.011.48–5.99safer0.36–3.280.53–3.290.89–6.58
Yellow cards
49%
19%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.914.32safe1.36–3.460.78–3.042.14–6.50safer1.09–3.720.49–3.331.58–7.06
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.24safe0.00–0.300.00–0.290.00–0.59safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.87
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.345.85safe2.07–4.950.79–3.902.86–8.85safer1.69–5.330.36–4.332.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.92 0.00–2.17 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.41 1.55–5.27 1.06–5.76 | 5.56 3.82–7.30 3.35–7.77 | 8.97 5.36–12.57 4.41–13.53 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 10.35 6.43–14.28 5.34–15.37 | 16.72 13.16–20.28 12.20–21.24 | 27.08 19.59–34.56 17.54–36.62 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 6.58 3.64–9.52 2.81–10.35 | 11.14 8.46–13.82 7.72–14.56 | 17.72 12.10–23.35 10.53–24.91 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.73 0.85–4.62 0.31–5.16 | 4.71 3.06–6.37 2.57–6.86 | 7.45 3.91–10.98 2.88–12.02 | 18% 71% |
| Corners | 4.55 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 6.02 4.02–8.02 3.49–8.55 | 10.57 6.35–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 27% 62% |
| Possession % | 43.29 36.50–50.08 34.83–51.75 | 57.72 50.94–64.51 49.27–66.18 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–453 | 471 404–537 387–555 | 838 704–971 668–1007 | 19% 81% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.63 57.60–65.66 56.31–66.95 | 71.68 67.36–76.01 66.05–77.32 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.70 10.86–16.53 10.10–17.29 | 13.92 10.97–16.86 10.22–17.61 | 27.61 21.83–33.40 20.33–34.90 | 45% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.28 | 1.91 0.82–3.01 0.53–3.29 | 3.73 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 37% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.41 1.36–3.46 1.09–3.72 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 4.32 2.14–6.50 1.58–7.06 | 49% 19% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.07–4.95 1.69–5.33 | 2.34 0.79–3.90 0.36–4.33 | 5.85 2.86–8.85 2.05–9.66 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+