Premiership·Regular Season - 9·
Premiership·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.192.92safe0.76–2.700.33–2.041.10–4.74safer0.51–2.950.11–2.270.62–5.22
Shots on target
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.334.079.40safe3.47–7.192.33–5.825.80–13.01safer2.98–7.681.86–6.284.84–13.96
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8510.7325.58safe10.93–18.787.16–14.2918.09–33.07safer9.84–19.876.20–15.2516.04–35.12
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.167.3917.54safe7.21–13.104.71–10.0711.92–23.17safer6.38–13.933.97–10.8110.35–24.73
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.273.357.62safe2.39–6.151.70–5.004.08–11.16safer1.84–6.691.21–5.503.05–12.19
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.019.90safe3.68–8.112.01–6.015.69–14.11safer3.11–8.681.47–6.544.58–15.22
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.7844.59safe49.99–63.5737.81–51.38safer48.32–65.2436.13–53.05
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction562415978safe495–630349–482844–1111safer477–648332–499808–1147
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction72.1669.87safe68.13–76.1965.55–74.20safer66.84–77.4864.24–75.51
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3511.3623.72safe9.52–15.198.42–14.3117.93–29.50safer8.76–15.957.67–15.0616.43–31.00
Offsides
40%
25%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.422.94safe0.36–2.680.33–2.510.68–5.19safer0.06–2.980.04–2.800.10–5.78
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.923.69safe0.72–2.820.80–3.051.52–5.87safer0.45–3.080.50–3.350.96–6.43
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.406.28safe1.45–4.321.84–4.953.29–9.27safer1.06–4.711.42–5.382.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.73 0.76–2.70 0.51–2.95 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.11–2.27 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 50% 24% 26% |
| Shots on target | 5.33 3.47–7.19 2.98–7.68 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.86–6.28 | 9.40 5.80–13.01 4.84–13.96 | 60% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.85 10.93–18.78 9.84–19.87 | 10.73 7.16–14.29 6.20–15.25 | 25.58 18.09–33.07 16.04–35.12 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.21–13.10 6.38–13.93 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 17.54 11.92–23.17 10.35–24.73 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.27 2.39–6.15 1.84–6.69 | 3.35 1.70–5.00 1.21–5.50 | 7.62 4.08–11.16 3.05–12.19 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.11 3.11–8.68 | 4.01 2.01–6.01 1.47–6.54 | 9.90 5.69–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 56.78 49.99–63.57 48.32–65.24 | 44.59 37.81–51.38 36.13–53.05 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 562 495–630 477–648 | 415 349–482 332–499 | 978 844–1111 808–1147 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.16 68.13–76.19 66.84–77.48 | 69.87 65.55–74.20 64.24–75.51 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.35 9.52–15.19 8.76–15.95 | 11.36 8.42–14.31 7.67–15.06 | 23.72 17.93–29.50 16.43–31.00 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 2.94 0.68–5.19 0.10–5.78 | 40% 25% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.77 0.72–2.82 0.45–3.08 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.35 | 3.69 1.52–5.87 0.96–6.43 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.88 1.45–4.32 1.06–4.71 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.42–5.38 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.