Premiership·Regular Season - 15·
Premiership·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.622.94safe0.35–2.290.76–2.471.11–4.76safer0.10–2.540.53–2.700.63–5.24
Shots on target
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.604.629.22safe2.73–6.462.88–6.365.61–12.82safer2.24–6.952.41–6.834.66–13.78
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8512.8027.65safe10.92–18.779.24–16.3720.16–35.14safer9.83–19.868.28–17.3318.11–37.19
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.918.7517.66safe5.97–11.856.07–11.4312.03–23.28safer5.14–12.685.33–12.1610.47–24.85
Blocked shots
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.223.818.03safe2.34–6.112.15–5.464.50–11.57safer1.80–6.651.66–5.953.46–12.60
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.2610.33safe2.86–7.283.26–7.266.11–14.54safer2.28–7.862.72–7.795.01–15.65
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.7855.25safe38.99–52.5748.46–62.03safer37.32–54.2446.79–63.70
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction431516948safe364–498450–583814–1081safer346–517432–600778–1117
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction67.5574.74safe63.52–71.5870.42–79.07safer62.23–72.8769.11–80.38
Fouls
29%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4512.5823.03safe7.62–13.299.63–15.5217.25–28.81safer6.86–14.058.89–16.2715.74–30.32
Offsides
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.483.05safe0.41–2.730.39–2.570.80–5.30safer0.11–3.030.10–2.860.21–5.89
Yellow cards
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.193.71safe0.47–2.571.06–3.321.54–5.89safer0.21–2.840.77–3.610.98–6.45
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.012.975.98safe1.57–4.441.42–4.532.99–8.97safer1.18–4.830.99–4.962.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.62 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 31% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.60 2.73–6.46 2.24–6.95 | 4.62 2.88–6.36 2.41–6.83 | 9.22 5.61–12.82 4.66–13.78 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 14.85 10.92–18.77 9.83–19.86 | 12.80 9.24–16.37 8.28–17.33 | 27.65 20.16–35.14 18.11–37.19 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.91 5.97–11.85 5.14–12.68 | 8.75 6.07–11.43 5.33–12.16 | 17.66 12.03–23.28 10.47–24.85 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.22 2.34–6.11 1.80–6.65 | 3.81 2.15–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.28 2.28–7.86 | 5.26 3.26–7.26 2.72–7.79 | 10.33 6.11–14.54 5.01–15.65 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 45.78 38.99–52.57 37.32–54.24 | 55.25 48.46–62.03 46.79–63.70 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–517 | 516 450–583 432–600 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.55 63.52–71.58 62.23–72.87 | 74.74 70.42–79.07 69.11–80.38 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.45 7.62–13.29 6.86–14.05 | 12.58 9.63–15.52 8.89–16.27 | 23.03 17.25–28.81 15.74–30.32 | 29% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.48 0.39–2.57 0.10–2.86 | 3.05 0.80–5.30 0.21–5.89 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.57 0.21–2.84 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.71 1.54–5.89 0.98–6.45 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.97 1.42–4.53 0.99–4.96 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.18–9.79 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+