Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
23%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.961.812.77safe0.00–1.930.96–2.670.95–4.59safer0.00–2.180.73–2.900.47–5.07
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.085.989.06safe1.22–4.954.24–7.725.46–12.67safer0.73–5.443.77–8.194.50–13.63
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1617.3227.48safe6.24–14.0913.75–20.8819.99–34.97safer5.15–15.1812.79–21.8417.94–37.02
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.3211.4717.79safe3.38–9.268.79–14.1512.16–23.41safer2.55–10.098.05–14.8910.60–24.98
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.685.187.86safe0.80–4.563.53–6.834.32–11.39safer0.25–5.103.03–7.323.29–12.43
Corners
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction4.436.2310.66safe2.22–6.644.23–8.236.45–14.87safer1.64–7.223.70–8.765.34–15.98
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.3458.90safe35.55–49.1352.12–65.69safer33.88–50.8050.45–67.36
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction361491851safe293–428424–557718–985safer275–446407–575682–1021
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction60.6273.34safe56.59–64.6569.02–77.66safer55.30–65.9467.71–78.97
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8813.4126.29safe10.04–15.7210.47–16.3620.51–32.08safer9.29–16.479.72–17.1119.01–33.58
Offsides
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.863.62safe0.61–2.930.76–2.951.37–5.88safer0.31–3.230.48–3.240.78–6.47
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.953.93safe0.93–3.030.82–3.081.75–6.10safer0.66–3.290.53–3.371.19–6.66
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
68%
14%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction3.802.175.97safe2.37–5.240.61–3.732.98–8.96safer1.98–5.630.19–4.152.17–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.96 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.18 | 1.81 0.96–2.67 0.73–2.90 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 20% 23% 57% |
| Shots on target | 3.08 1.22–4.95 0.73–5.44 | 5.98 4.24–7.72 3.77–8.19 | 9.06 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.63 | 79% |
| Total shots | 10.16 6.24–14.09 5.15–15.18 | 17.32 13.75–20.88 12.79–21.84 | 27.48 19.99–34.97 17.94–37.02 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.32 3.38–9.26 2.55–10.09 | 11.47 8.79–14.15 8.05–14.89 | 17.79 12.16–23.41 10.60–24.98 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.25–5.10 | 5.18 3.53–6.83 3.03–7.32 | 7.86 4.32–11.39 3.29–12.43 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 4.43 2.22–6.64 1.64–7.22 | 6.23 4.23–8.23 3.70–8.76 | 10.66 6.45–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 24% 65% |
| Possession % | 42.34 35.55–49.13 33.88–50.80 | 58.90 52.12–65.69 50.45–67.36 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 361 293–428 275–446 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 851 718–985 682–1021 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.62 56.59–64.65 55.30–65.94 | 73.34 69.02–77.66 67.71–78.97 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.88 10.04–15.72 9.29–16.47 | 13.41 10.47–16.36 9.72–17.11 | 26.29 20.51–32.08 19.01–33.58 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.62 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.93 1.75–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.80 2.37–5.24 1.98–5.63 | 2.17 0.61–3.73 0.19–4.15 | 5.97 2.98–8.96 2.17–9.77 | 68% 14% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+