Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
21%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.980.792.77safe1.01–2.950.00–1.650.95–4.60safer0.76–3.200.00–1.870.47–5.08
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.712.469.17safe4.85–8.570.72–4.205.56–12.77safer4.36–9.060.25–4.674.61–13.73
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.927.5128.43safe16.99–24.843.95–11.0720.94–35.91safer15.90–25.932.99–12.0318.89–37.96
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction12.514.9517.46safe9.57–15.452.27–7.6311.84–23.09safer8.74–16.281.54–8.3710.27–24.65
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.362.138.49safe4.48–8.240.48–3.784.95–12.02safer3.93–8.780.00–4.283.92–13.06
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.353.6010.96safe5.14–9.561.60–5.606.74–15.17safer4.56–10.141.07–6.145.64–16.28
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.0937.84safe55.30–68.8831.06–44.63safer53.63–70.5529.39–46.30
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction535325860safe468–602258–391726–994safer450–621241–409691–1029
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction71.6564.73safe67.62–75.6860.41–69.06safer66.33–76.9759.10–70.37
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6412.8125.45safe9.80–15.489.86–15.7519.67–31.23safer9.04–16.239.12–16.5018.16–32.73
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.563.47safe0.75–3.070.46–2.651.22–5.72safer0.45–3.380.17–2.940.63–6.31
Yellow cards
23%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.213.56safe0.30–2.401.08–3.341.39–5.74safer0.04–2.670.79–3.630.83–6.30
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction1.904.336.22safe0.46–3.332.77–5.883.23–9.22safer0.07–3.722.34–6.312.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 0.79 0.00–1.65 0.00–1.87 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 65% 21% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.57 4.36–9.06 | 2.46 0.72–4.20 0.25–4.67 | 9.17 5.56–12.77 4.61–13.73 | 90% |
| Total shots | 20.92 16.99–24.84 15.90–25.93 | 7.51 3.95–11.07 2.99–12.03 | 28.43 20.94–35.91 18.89–37.96 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 12.51 9.57–15.45 8.74–16.28 | 4.95 2.27–7.63 1.54–8.37 | 17.46 11.84–23.09 10.27–24.65 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 6.36 4.48–8.24 3.93–8.78 | 2.13 0.48–3.78 0.00–4.28 | 8.49 4.95–12.02 3.92–13.06 | 91% |
| Corners | 7.35 5.14–9.56 4.56–10.14 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.96 6.74–15.17 5.64–16.28 | 84% |
| Possession % | 62.09 55.30–68.88 53.63–70.55 | 37.84 31.06–44.63 29.39–46.30 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 450–621 | 325 258–391 241–409 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.65 67.62–75.68 66.33–76.97 | 64.73 60.41–69.06 59.10–70.37 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.80–15.48 9.04–16.23 | 12.81 9.86–15.75 9.12–16.50 | 25.45 19.67–31.23 18.16–32.73 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.38 | 1.56 0.46–2.65 0.17–2.94 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.56 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 23% 20% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 4.33 2.77–5.88 2.34–6.31 | 6.22 3.23–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.