Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.770.962.74safe0.80–2.740.11–1.820.91–4.56safer0.55–2.990.00–2.050.43–5.04
Shots on target
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.468.82safe3.50–7.221.72–5.215.22–12.43safer3.01–7.711.25–5.674.26–13.38
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2810.5725.85safe11.36–19.217.00–14.1318.36–33.33safer10.26–20.306.05–15.0916.31–35.39
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.136.7416.87safe7.19–13.074.06–9.4211.24–22.49safer6.36–13.903.32–10.169.68–24.06
Blocked shots
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.257.41safe2.27–6.041.60–4.913.87–10.95safer1.73–6.581.11–5.402.84–11.98
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.864.1710.03safe3.64–8.072.17–6.175.81–14.24safer3.07–8.641.64–6.704.71–15.35
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.6748.00safe45.88–59.4641.22–54.79safer44.21–61.1339.55–56.46
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction464418882safe396–531352–485748–1015safer378–549334–502712–1051
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction66.8768.92safe62.84–70.9064.59–73.24safer61.55–72.2063.28–74.55
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9612.2026.16safe11.12–16.809.26–15.1520.38–31.95safer10.37–17.558.51–15.9018.88–33.45
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.863.79safe0.77–3.090.76–2.951.54–6.04safer0.47–3.390.48–3.240.95–6.63
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.102.034.13safe1.05–3.150.90–3.161.95–6.30safer0.78–3.410.61–3.451.39–6.86
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.355.69safe0.91–3.781.79–4.902.70–8.68safer0.52–4.171.37–5.331.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.77 0.80–2.74 0.55–2.99 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.74 0.91–4.56 0.43–5.04 | 56% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.22 3.01–7.71 | 3.46 1.72–5.21 1.25–5.67 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 68% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.36–19.21 10.26–20.30 | 10.57 7.00–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 25.85 18.36–33.33 16.31–35.39 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.13 7.19–13.07 6.36–13.90 | 6.74 4.06–9.42 3.32–10.16 | 16.87 11.24–22.49 9.68–24.06 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.16 2.27–6.04 1.73–6.58 | 3.25 1.60–4.91 1.11–5.40 | 7.41 3.87–10.95 2.84–11.98 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.86 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.64–6.70 | 10.03 5.81–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 52.67 45.88–59.46 44.21–61.13 | 48.00 41.22–54.79 39.55–56.46 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 464 396–531 378–549 | 418 352–485 334–502 | 882 748–1015 712–1051 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.87 62.84–70.90 61.55–72.20 | 68.92 64.59–73.24 63.28–74.55 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 13.96 11.12–16.80 10.37–17.55 | 12.20 9.26–15.15 8.51–15.90 | 26.16 20.38–31.95 18.88–33.45 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.86 0.76–2.95 0.48–3.24 | 3.79 1.54–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.10 1.05–3.15 0.78–3.41 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.35 1.79–4.90 1.37–5.33 | 5.69 2.70–8.68 1.89–9.50 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+