Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.412.64safe0.27–2.200.56–2.270.82–4.47safer0.01–2.450.33–2.490.34–4.95
Shots on target
35%
13%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.074.728.79safe2.21–5.932.98–6.465.19–12.40safer1.72–6.422.51–6.934.23–13.35
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1713.2025.37safe8.24–16.099.64–16.7617.88–32.85safer7.15–17.188.68–17.7215.83–34.91
Shots in box
30%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction7.469.0416.50safe4.52–10.406.36–11.7210.88–22.13safer3.69–11.235.62–12.469.31–23.69
Blocked shots
40%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.233.396.63safe1.35–5.121.74–5.053.09–10.16safer0.81–5.661.25–5.542.06–11.20
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.275.4810.75safe3.06–7.493.48–7.486.54–14.96safer2.49–8.062.94–8.015.43–16.07
Possession %
37%
59%
homeawayprediction47.7252.48safe40.93–54.5145.70–59.27safer39.26–56.1844.03–60.94
Passes
44%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction436454890safe369–503387–520756–1023safer350–521370–538720–1059
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction63.2269.41safe59.19–67.2565.08–73.73safer57.90–68.5463.77–75.04
Fouls
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5414.5426.08safe8.70–14.3811.60–17.4920.30–31.87safer7.95–15.1310.85–18.2418.80–33.37
Offsides
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.013.89safe0.72–3.040.92–3.101.64–6.14safer0.42–3.340.63–3.391.05–6.73
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.174.06safe0.84–2.941.04–3.291.88–6.23safer0.58–3.210.75–3.591.32–6.79
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.845.79safe1.52–4.391.28–4.392.80–8.79safer1.13–4.780.86–4.821.99–9.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.41 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.49 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.21–5.93 1.72–6.42 | 4.72 2.98–6.46 2.51–6.93 | 8.79 5.19–12.40 4.23–13.35 | 35% 13% 52% |
| Total shots | 12.17 8.24–16.09 7.15–17.18 | 13.20 9.64–16.76 8.68–17.72 | 25.37 17.88–32.85 15.83–34.91 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.46 4.52–10.40 3.69–11.23 | 9.04 6.36–11.72 5.62–12.46 | 16.50 10.88–22.13 9.31–23.69 | 30% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.23 1.35–5.12 0.81–5.66 | 3.39 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 6.63 3.09–10.16 2.06–11.20 | 40% 16% 45% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.06–7.49 2.49–8.06 | 5.48 3.48–7.48 2.94–8.01 | 10.75 6.54–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 47.72 40.93–54.51 39.26–56.18 | 52.48 45.70–59.27 44.03–60.94 | — | 37% 59% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 350–521 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 890 756–1023 720–1059 | 44% 56% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.22 59.19–67.25 57.90–68.54 | 69.41 65.08–73.73 63.77–75.04 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.54 8.70–14.38 7.95–15.13 | 14.54 11.60–17.49 10.85–18.24 | 26.08 20.30–31.87 18.80–33.37 | 25% 69% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 3.89 1.64–6.14 1.05–6.73 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.17 1.04–3.29 0.75–3.59 | 4.06 1.88–6.23 1.32–6.79 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.84 1.28–4.39 0.86–4.82 | 5.79 2.80–8.79 1.99–9.60 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.