Premiership·Regular Season - 9·
Premiership·Regular Season - 9·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.772.95safe0.22–2.150.91–2.621.13–4.78safer0.00–2.410.69–2.850.65–5.26
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction4.385.6710.05safe2.52–6.243.92–7.416.44–13.65safer2.03–6.733.46–7.875.49–14.61
Total shots
31%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2615.4828.74safe9.33–17.1811.92–19.0521.25–36.23safer8.24–18.2710.96–20.0119.20–38.28
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5910.2318.82safe5.65–11.537.55–12.9113.20–24.45safer4.82–12.366.81–13.6511.63–26.01
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.404.007.40safe1.52–5.282.35–5.653.86–10.93safer0.97–5.821.85–6.142.83–11.97
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction5.005.9210.92safe2.79–7.213.92–7.926.70–15.13safer2.21–7.793.38–8.455.59–16.24
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.2963.72safe30.50–44.0856.93–70.50safer28.83–45.7555.26–72.18
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction340578918safe273–407511–644784–1052safer255–425494–662749–1087
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction64.9978.69safe60.96–69.0274.37–83.02safer59.67–70.3173.06–84.33
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6012.2923.88safe8.76–14.439.34–15.2318.10–29.66safer8.00–15.198.59–15.9816.60–31.17
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.833.51safe0.52–2.840.74–2.921.26–5.76safer0.22–3.140.45–3.210.67–6.35
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.753.63safe0.83–2.930.62–2.871.45–5.80safer0.56–3.200.33–3.170.89–6.36
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.612.996.61safe2.18–5.051.44–4.553.61–9.60safer1.79–5.441.01–4.972.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.41 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.69–2.85 | 2.95 1.13–4.78 0.65–5.26 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 5.67 3.92–7.41 3.46–7.87 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.33–17.18 8.24–18.27 | 15.48 11.92–19.05 10.96–20.01 | 28.74 21.25–36.23 19.20–38.28 | 31% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.59 5.65–11.53 4.82–12.36 | 10.23 7.55–12.91 6.81–13.65 | 18.82 13.20–24.45 11.63–26.01 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 4.00 2.35–5.65 1.85–6.14 | 7.40 3.86–10.93 2.83–11.97 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 5.00 2.79–7.21 2.21–7.79 | 5.92 3.92–7.92 3.38–8.45 | 10.92 6.70–15.13 5.59–16.24 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 37.29 30.50–44.08 28.83–45.75 | 63.72 56.93–70.50 55.26–72.18 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 340 273–407 255–425 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 918 784–1052 749–1087 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.99 60.96–69.02 59.67–70.31 | 78.69 74.37–83.02 73.06–84.33 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 12.29 9.34–15.23 8.59–15.98 | 23.88 18.10–29.66 16.60–31.17 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.56–3.20 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 3.63 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.61 2.18–5.05 1.79–5.44 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 6.61 3.61–9.60 2.80–10.41 | 52% 15% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.