Premiership·Regular Season - 17·
Premiership·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.962.96safe1.03–2.970.10–1.811.14–4.78safer0.78–3.220.00–2.040.66–5.26
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.319.61safe4.44–8.171.56–5.056.00–13.21safer3.95–8.661.10–5.515.05–14.17
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction17.7310.3228.05safe13.80–21.656.76–13.8820.56–35.54safer12.71–22.745.80–14.8418.51–37.59
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.207.0618.26safe8.26–14.144.38–9.7412.63–23.88safer7.43–14.973.64–10.4811.07–25.45
Blocked shots
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.238.36safe3.25–7.011.58–4.884.82–11.90safer2.71–7.561.08–5.373.79–12.93
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction7.054.2611.31safe4.83–9.262.26–6.267.09–15.52safer4.26–9.831.73–6.805.99–16.63
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction62.8836.54safe56.09–69.6729.76–43.33safer54.42–71.3428.09–45.00
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction608334943safe541–676268–401809–1076safer523–694250–418773–1112
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction77.0468.58safe73.01–81.0764.25–72.90safer71.72–82.3762.94–74.21
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5211.5623.08safe8.68–14.368.62–14.5117.30–28.86safer7.93–15.127.87–15.2515.80–30.37
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.343.21safe0.71–3.030.24–2.430.95–5.46safer0.41–3.330.00–2.720.36–6.05
Yellow cards
29%
23%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.813.15safe0.29–2.390.68–2.940.98–5.33safer0.03–2.660.39–3.230.42–5.89
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
20%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.464.086.54safe1.02–3.892.53–5.643.55–9.53safer0.63–4.282.10–6.072.74–10.34
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.30 4.44–8.17 3.95–8.66 | 3.31 1.56–5.05 1.10–5.51 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.73 13.80–21.65 12.71–22.74 | 10.32 6.76–13.88 5.80–14.84 | 28.05 20.56–35.54 18.51–37.59 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 7.06 4.38–9.74 3.64–10.48 | 18.26 12.63–23.88 11.07–25.45 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.01 2.71–7.56 | 3.23 1.58–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 8.36 4.82–11.90 3.79–12.93 | 69% 20% |
| Corners | 7.05 4.83–9.26 4.26–9.83 | 4.26 2.26–6.26 1.73–6.80 | 11.31 7.09–15.52 5.99–16.63 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 62.88 56.09–69.67 54.42–71.34 | 36.54 29.76–43.33 28.09–45.00 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 608 541–676 523–694 | 334 268–401 250–418 | 943 809–1076 773–1112 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.04 73.01–81.07 71.72–82.37 | 68.58 64.25–72.90 62.94–74.21 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.93–15.12 | 11.56 8.62–14.51 7.87–15.25 | 23.08 17.30–28.86 15.80–30.37 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.29–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.15 0.98–5.33 0.42–5.89 | 29% 23% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.46 1.02–3.89 0.63–4.28 | 4.08 2.53–5.64 2.10–6.07 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.34 | 20% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.